Tyler Warren

Season avg42.6Receiving Yards · +4.1 vs 38.5

Sample53 over 38.5

Live lines18none on today’s board

vs JAX—no logged games vs JAX

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Receiving Yards projection against JAX, largest first.

Strong D (-10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 underdog)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
AwayHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Tyler Warren right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Tyler Warren, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Receptionsdemon	4.5	OVER only	5.1	5.1	4/5	63%	+18.2	4.5	3.5–4.5
Receptionsgoblin	2.5	OVER only	5.1	5.1	5/5	83%	+16.7	4.5	3.5–4.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	14.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	4/5	73%	+6.5	36.5	37.5–39.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	3/5	50%	+5.1	36.5	37.5–39.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.6	none	3/5	48%	+3.5	no line	not listed
Receptionsdemon	5.5	OVER only	5.1	5.1	3/5	47%	+2.8	4.5	3.5–4.5
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	38.5	OVER	36.3	41.5	3/5	59%	+1.1	36.5, works against the OVER	37.5–39.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	29.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	3/5	64%	−2.4	36.5	37.5–39.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	19.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	4/5	64%	−2.4	36.5	37.5–39.5
Receptionsgoblin	3.5	OVER only	5.1	5.1	4/5	64%	−2.8	4.5	3.5–4.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	49.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	2/5	40%	−5.1	36.5	37.5–39.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	59.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	1/5	24%	−20.9	36.5	37.5–39.5
Receptionsdemon	7.5	OVER only	5.1	5.1	1/5	17%	−27.6	4.5	3.5–4.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	106.5	OVER only	36.3	41.5	0/5	5%	−39.7	36.5	37.5–39.5
Fantasy Scoredemon	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Score	9.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin	7	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Rec Targets	6	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs JAX

No logged games against JAX in the 5 games we hold.

Profile

Tyler Warren · Indianapolis Colts · #84

Position: Tight end
Age: 24
Height: 6′6″ · 198 cm
Nationality: USA

NFL 26/27 · regular season

Games5

Receptions / game6.0

Rec yds / game42.6

Rec TD2

Targets / game7.2

Yards / catch7.1

Team history

May 2025Indianapolis Colts to Indianapolis Colts

Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.

Game log · Receiving Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 38.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 5, oldest on the left.

Last 53/5 cleared

38.5

5 games agolast game

Game log · Receiving Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Receiving Yards	vs 38.5
Oct 11	PIT	83	+44.5
Oct 4	WSH	41	+2.5
Sep 27	HOU	55	+16.5
Sep 20	KC	21	−17.5
Sep 13	BAL	13	−25.5