Next gameIND @ JAXhome vs INDSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Trevor Lawrence
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass+Rush Yds projection against IND, largest first.
- Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 favored)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
- Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
- Post-ByeDays of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Trevor Lawrence right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Yardsgoblin | 179.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 6/6 | 83% | +16.7 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 174.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 6/6 | 83% | +16.7 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 6/6 | 83% | +16.7 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 5/6 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 17.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 5/6 | 73% | +6.5 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 251.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 2/6 | 48% | +2.9 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 259.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 2/6 | 47% | +2.5 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 261.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 2/6 | 47% | +2.4 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 2.4 | 3/6 | 47% | +2.0 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 31.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 2/6 | 47% | +1.9 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 32.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 2/6 | 46% | +1.4 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 269.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 2/6 | 46% | +1.4 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 2/6 | 44% | −1.0 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 11.5 | UNDER | 13.1 | 4/6 | 55% | −2.5 | 10.5▼, supports the UNDER | 9.5–10.5▼ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 231.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 3/6 | 64% | −2.6 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 4/6 | 64% | −2.6 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 209.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 4/6 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 4/6 | 64% | −2.8 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 249.5 | OVER | 272.5 | 2/6 | 54% | −3.9 | 242.5–245.5▼, works against the OVER | 244.5–249.5▼ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | 13.1 | 2/6 | 40% | −5.0 | 10.5▲ | 9.5–10.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 299.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 2/6 | 40% | −5.0 | no line | not listed |
INT | 0.5 | OVER | 0.7 | 4/6 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | 13.1 | 3/6 | 61% | −5.6 | 10.5▲ | 9.5–10.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Yds | 255.5, down from 256.5 at today's open | UNDER | 264.8 | 4/6 | 52% | −5.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completions | 20.5 | UNDER | 20.9 | 4/6 | 50% | −7.3 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▼ |
Pass Attempts | 30.5 | OVER | 31.8 | 2/6 | 50% | −7.5 | 31.5▲, supports the OVER | 30.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 4/6 | 59% | −8.1 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 18.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 3/6 | 59% | −8.1 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 2.4 | 4/6 | 59% | −8.1 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 23.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 2/6 | 34% | −11.2 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 13.1 | 2/6 | 32% | −12.8 | 10.5▲ | 9.5–10.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 2/6 | 53% | −14.1 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 249.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 2/6 | 49% | −17.4 | no line | not listed |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0/6 | 7% | −38.2 | no line | not listed |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 379.5 | OVER only | 264.8 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsdemon | 374.5 | OVER only | 272.5 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 242.5–245.5▲ | 244.5–249.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 50.5 | OVER only | 13.1 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 10.5▲ | 9.5–10.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 13.1 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 10.5▲ | 9.5–10.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 42.5 | OVER only | 31.8 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 31.5▲ | 30.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 30.5 | OVER only | 20.9 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 20.5▲ | 19.5–20.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.4 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
INTdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.0 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoredemon | 23 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Score | 19 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoregoblin | 15 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs IND
No logged games against IND in the 6 games we hold.
Game log · Pass+Rush Yds
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 255.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass+Rush Yds | vs 255.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 317 | +61.5 | |
| PHI | 356 | +100.5 | |
| CIN | 227 | −28.5 | |
| NE | 207 | −48.5 | |
| DEN | 195 | −60.5 | |
| CLE | 248 | −7.5 |
