Next gameNJD @ VGKhome vs NJDTomorrow · 3:00 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Tomas Hertl
Tomorrow’s context
The adjustments behind tomorrow’s Shots On Goal projection against NJD, largest first.
- Strong D (-14%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Power-play matchup (-5.0%, power-play share 24%)Opponent's penalty rate against this player's power-play role.
- Game total 6 (-2.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Tomas Hertl right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 10/14 | 61% | −6.1 | 2.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 4/14 | 25% | −19.8 | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 6/14 | 27% | −39.3 | 2.5▲ |
vs NJD
No logged games against NJD in the 14 games we hold.
Profile
Tomas Hertl · Vegas Golden Knights · #48
- Position
- Center
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 6′3″ · 191 cm
- Nationality
- Czechia
NHL 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Points / game | 0.57 |
| Plus/minus | +3 |
| Power-play points | 3 |
| Shooting % | 15.2% |
| Faceoff % | 54.6% |
| Hits | 36 |
| Blocked shots | 7 |
| Penalty minutes | 2 |
| Game-winning goals | 0 |
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Shots On Goal
Most recent first, read against the OVER 1.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 14, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Shots On Goal | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 2 | +0.5 | |
| CBJ | 1 | −0.5 | |
| STL | 2 | +0.5 | |
| TB | 5 | +3.5 | |
| PIT | 1 | −0.5 | |
| CGY | 3 | +1.5 | |
| NSH | 2 | +0.5 | |
| MIN | 0 | −1.5 | |
| LA | 0 | −1.5 | |
| TOR | 3 | +1.5 | |
| SEA | 3 | +1.5 | |
| VAN | 2 | +0.5 | |
| ANA | 5 | +3.5 | |
| CHI | 4 | +2.5 |
