Next gameFLA @ STLaway at STLTomorrow · 4:00 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
The adjustments behind tomorrow’s Assists projection against STL, largest first.
1 published pick for Seth Jones. Every published pick is paper-traded and graded from the box score.
13–14 · 48% hit · break-even 44.7%
Likely true rate 33–63%. Too close to break-even to call yet.
Every PrizePicks line for Seth Jones right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AssistsdemonOn board | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.9 | 11/20 | 50% | +4.8 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 13/20 | 65% | −1.8 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Hitsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 8/20 | 41% | −3.3 | no line | not listed |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 2.1 | 13/20 | 58% | −8.3 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 5/20 | 23% | −21.3 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.9 | 5/20 | 19% | −25.6 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 2.1 | 5/20 | 17% | −27.9 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 2.1 | 10/20 | 38% | −28.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | 3/20 | 14% | −30.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 3/20 | 12% | −32.6 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.1 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Time On Ice | 24.5 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Power Play Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | 0.5▲ |
No logged games against STL in the 20 games we hold.
Seth Jones · Florida Panthers · #3
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Points / game | 1.10 |
| Plus/minus | +1 |
| Power-play points | 13 |
| Shooting % | 6.4% |
| Hits | 22 |
| Blocked shots | 26 |
| Penalty minutes | 2 |
| Game-winning goals | 1 |
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Most recent first, read against the OVER 0.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Assists | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | +0.5 | |
| CBJ | 1 | +0.5 | |
| BOS | 0 | −0.5 | |
| WSH | 1 | +0.5 | |
| CHI | 0 | −0.5 | |
| DET | 0 | −0.5 | |
| WPG | 2 | +1.5 | |
| WPG | 3 | +2.5 | |
| CHI | 1 | +0.5 | |
| PIT | 0 | −0.5 | |
| OTT | 1 | +0.5 | |
| SEA | 1 | +0.5 | |
| VAN | 2 | +1.5 | |
| CBJ | 4 | +3.5 | |
| BUF | 2 | +1.5 | |
| MIN | 0 | −0.5 | |
| LA | 0 | −0.5 | |
| ANA | 0 | −0.5 | |
| SJ | 0 | −0.5 | |
| CAR | 0 | −0.5 |
