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Sam Merrill
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Points projection against ATL, largest first.
- Game total 238.5 (+3.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
- Back-to-backDays of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Sam Merrill right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pointsgoblin | 4.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 16/20 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 8.5▲ |
3-PT Madegoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 17/20 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+AstsNot published: our last 12 graded NBA Pts+Rebs+Asts UNDER picks went 4–8. | 12.5 | UNDER | 11.7 | 15/20 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | 12.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 5.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 13/20 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 8.5▲ |
Points | 8.5 | UNDER | 8.4 | 13/20 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | 8.5▲ |
Stealsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | 11/20 | 56% | −10.2 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Reboundsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 5/20 | 33% | −11.7 | no line | 2.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 7.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 8/20 | 50% | −16.8 | no line | 8.5▲ |
3-PT Madegoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 10/20 | 48% | −18.9 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 5/20 | 25% | −19.7 | no line | 8.5▲ |
3-PT Madedemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 4/20 | 17% | −27.9 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 1/20 | 7% | −37.7 | no line | 8.5▲ |
3-PT Madedemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1/20 | 7% | −38.1 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 20.5 | OVER only | 8.4 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 8.5▲ |
3-PT Madedemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Our record on Sam Merrill
0–1 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8 | pts+rebs OVER 12.5 | 6 | Miss |
vs ATL
No logged games against ATL in the 20 games we hold.
Game log · Points
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 8.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Points | vs 8.5 | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 8 | −0.5 | 20 | |
| MIN | 9 | +0.5 | 31 | |
| BKN | 7 | −1.5 | 21 | |
| PHI | 5 | −3.5 | 24 | |
| NY | 5 | −3.5 | 18 | |
| NY | 6 | −2.5 | 24 | |
| NY | 4 | −4.5 | 23 | |
| NY | 12 | +3.5 | 28 | |
| DET | 23 | +14.5 | 25 | |
| DET | 10 | +1.5 | 20 | |
| DET | 6 | −2.5 | 21 | |
| DET | 6 | −2.5 | 16 | |
| DET | 7 | −1.5 | 14 | |
| DET | 0 | −8.5 | 7 | |
| TOR | 13 | +4.5 | 23 | |
| TOR | 2 | −6.5 | 18 | |
| TOR | 9 | +0.5 | 23 | |
| TOR | 14 | +5.5 | 19 | |
| TOR | 3 | −5.5 | 18 | |
| TOR | 5 | −3.5 | 20 |