Sam Darnold

Season avg215.0Pass Yards · −18.5 vs 233.5

Sample63 over 233.5

Live lines41none on today’s board

vs CHI—no logged games vs CHI

Monday’s context

The adjustments behind Monday’s Pass Yards projection against CHI, largest first.

Strong D (-6%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Sam Darnold right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Sam Darnold, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Rush Yards	4.5	OVER	8.6	15.1	5/6	62%	+3.9	4.5	4.5
INT	0.5	OVER	1.3	none	5/6	62%	+3.9	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	249.5	OVER only	229.9	none	3/6	48%	+2.9	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsdemon	243.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	3/6	47%	+2.2	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Yardsdemon	249.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	3/6	47%	+2.0	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Yardsdemon	253.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	3/6	47%	+1.9	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Attempts	30.5	UNDER	30.6	32.1	4/6	59%	+1.3	30.5	30.5
Rush Yardsdemon	9.5	OVER only	8.6	15.1	2/6	45%	+0.3	4.5	4.5
INTdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.3	none	3/6	44%	−0.3	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Yds	239.5	OVER	229.9	none	3/6	54%	−3.9	no line	not listed
Pass Completions	19.5	OVER	19.2	20.6	3/6	53%	−4.4	20.5, supports the OVER	19.5–20.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	31.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	2/6	40%	−4.8	30.5	30.5
Pass TDs	1.5	UNDER	1.4	1.3	4/6	52%	−5.5	1.5	1.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	32.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	2/6	39%	−5.8	30.5	30.5
Pass Completionsdemon	20.5	OVER only	19.2	20.6	2/6	39%	−6.0	20.5	19.5–20.5
Pass Yards	233.5	OVER	212.3	260.3	3/6	51%	−7.1	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	174.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	4/6	59%	−8.1	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	169.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	4/6	59%	−8.1	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	229.9	none	4/6	59%	−8.1	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	179.5	OVER only	229.9	none	4/6	59%	−8.1	no line	not listed
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	4/6	59%	−8.1	30.5	30.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	25.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	4/6	59%	−8.1	30.5	30.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	19.2	20.6	4/6	59%	−8.1	20.5	19.5–20.5
Rush Yardsdemon	14.5	OVER only	8.6	15.1	2/6	34%	−10.6	4.5	4.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	3/6	56%	−10.9	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	18.5	OVER only	19.2	20.6	3/6	55%	−11.6	20.5	19.5–20.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	229.5	OVER only	229.9	none	3/6	55%	−11.8	no line	not listed
Pass Completionsdemon	24.5	OVER only	19.2	20.6	2/6	32%	−12.6	20.5	19.5–20.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	229.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	3/6	51%	−15.4	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	43.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	2/6	28%	−16.3	30.5	30.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	30.6	32.1	2/6	42%	−24.6	30.5	30.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	299.5	OVER only	229.9	none	1/6	18%	−26.8	no line	not listed
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.4	1.3	1/6	17%	−27.5	1.5	1.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	359.5	OVER only	229.9	none	1/6	13%	−31.2	no line	not listed
Pass Completionsdemon	30.5	OVER only	19.2	20.6	1/6	13%	−31.3	20.5	19.5–20.5
Pass Yardsdemon	374.5	OVER only	212.3	260.3	1/6	11%	−33.6	233.5	224.5–233.5
Pass TDsdemon	3.5	OVER only	1.4	1.3	1/6	10%	−34.3	1.5	1.5
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.3	none	0/6	7%	−38.1	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	8.6	15.1	0/6	5%	−39.7	4.5	4.5
Rush Yardsdemon	19.5	OVER only	8.6	15.1	0/6	5%	−39.7	4.5	4.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.0	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed

vs CHI

No logged games against CHI in the 6 games we hold.

Profile

Sam Darnold · Seattle Seahawks · #14

Position: Quarterback
Age: 29
Height: 6′3″ · 190 cm
Nationality: USA

NFL 26/27 · regular season

Games6

Pass yds / game215.0

Pass TD8

Interceptions thrown8

Completion %62.1%

Yards / attempt7.3

NFL 26/27 · regular season statistics
Stat	Value
Passer rating	80.5
Rush yds / game	8.7
Rush TD	0
Carries / game	1.5
Yards / carry	5.8

Team history

Mar 2025Joined Seattle Seahawks
Mar 2024Joined Minnesota Vikings
Mar 2023Joined San Francisco 49ers
Apr 2021New York Jets to Carolina Panthers

Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 233.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.

Last 63/6 cleared

233.5

6 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 233.5
Oct 25	KC	257	+23.5
Oct 15	DEN	278	+44.5
Oct 11	SF	195	−38.5
Oct 4	LAC	168	−65.5
Sep 27	WSH	379	+145.5
Sep 9	NE	13	−220.5