Next gameIND @ MIAhome vs INDTomorrow · 5:00 PM PT
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Pelle Larsson
Tomorrow’s context
The adjustments behind tomorrow’s Points projection against IND, largest first.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Pelle Larsson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stealsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.5 | 5/5 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Points | 11.5 | OVER | 11.1 | 3/5 | 59% | +1.3 | no line | 11.5▲ |
Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 4.4 | 4/5 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | 3.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | 11.1 | 3/5 | 65% | −1.5 | no line | 11.5▲ |
3-PT Madegoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 4/5 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Blks+Stlsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 2/5 | 41% | −3.7 | no line | not listed |
Pts+Rebs+AstsNot published: our last 12 graded NBA Pts+Rebs+Asts UNDER picks went 4–8. | 18.5 | UNDER | 19.1 | 3/5 | 52% | −6.2 | no line | 18.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | 11.1 | 2/5 | 38% | −6.5 | no line | 11.5▲ |
Rebs+Asts | 7.5 | UNDER | 8.1 | 3/5 | 51% | −7.0 | no line | 7.5▲ |
Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 3.7 | 3/5 | 51% | −7.2 | no line | 3.5▲ |
Turnoversdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 2/5 | 37% | −7.6 | no line | not listed |
Stealsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.5 | 1/5 | 32% | −12.6 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Stealsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.5 | 1/5 | 21% | −24.2 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Blocked Shotsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | 1/5 | 16% | −28.5 | no line | not listed |
Pointsdemon | 24.5 | OVER only | 11.1 | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 11.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 11.1 | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 11.5▲ |
Stealsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.5 | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Blocked Shotsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Our record on Pelle Larsson
0–1 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | pts+rebs+asts OVER 16.5 | 12 | Miss |
vs IND
No logged games against IND in the 5 games we hold.
Profile
Pelle Larsson · Miami Heat · #9
- Position
- Shooting guard
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 6′6″ · 198 cm
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Contract until
- Jun 2031
NBA 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| 3-pointers / game | 1.0 |
| Pts + reb + ast / game | 18.4 |
| Steals / game | 1.4 |
| Blocks / game | 0.2 |
| Turnovers / game | 1.0 |
| Field goal % | 41.7% |
| 3-point % | 35.7% |
| Free throw % | 90.0% |
| True shooting % | 59.1% |
| Usage rate | 13.2% |
| Player efficiency (PER) | 12.8 |
| Double-doubles | 0 |
| Triple-doubles | 0 |
| Plus/minus | +2 |
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Points
Most recent first, read against the OVER 11.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 5, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Points | vs 11.5 | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 17 | +5.5 | 31 | |
| DAL | 12 | +0.5 | 34 | |
| CHA | 15 | +3.5 | 36 | |
| DET | 7 | −4.5 | 29 | |
| MIN | 2 | −9.5 | 24 |