NFLPIT

Next gameCLE @ PIThome vs CLESun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT

refreshes every ~15 min

Pat Freiermuth

Season avg28.6Receiving Yards · +4.1 vs 24.5
Sample73 under 24.5
Live lines23none on today’s board
vs CLE17.0avg over 1 game

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Receiving Yards projection against CLE, largest first.

  • Game total 38.5 (-7.5%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
  • Strong D (-5%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
  • HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Pat Freiermuth right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Pat Freiermuth, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
StatLineSideProjOutside projClearedModelvs BEBooksOther apps
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
9.5OVER only25.434.07/783%+16.724.524.5
Receptionsgoblin
1.5OVER only2.93.57/773%+6.52.52.5
Anytime TDsdemon
0.5OVER only0.5none3/744%−0.3no linenot listed
Receiving Yardsdemon
29.5OVER only25.434.04/742%−2.624.524.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
14.5OVER only25.434.06/764%−2.824.524.5
Receiving Yards
24.5UNDER25.434.03/751%−6.624.524.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
19.5OVER only25.434.05/759%−8.124.524.5
Receptionsdemon
3.5OVER only2.93.53/734%−10.92.52.5
Receptionsgoblin
2.5OVER only2.93.54/751%−15.22.52.5
Receptionsdemon
4.5OVER only2.93.52/721%−23.72.52.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
39.5OVER only25.434.02/720%−24.924.524.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
79.5OVER only25.434.00/75%−39.724.524.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
49.5OVER only25.434.00/75%−39.724.524.5
Receptionsdemon
6.5OVER only2.93.50/75%−39.72.52.5
Longest Receptiondemon
24.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiondemon
19.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiondemon
14.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Reception
13.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiongoblin
9.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Fantasy Scoredemon
9.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Fantasy Score
6.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin
3.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Rec Targets
3.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed

vs CLE

Every logged game against CLE (Receiving Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.

vs CLE17.0avg over 1 game
Season avg28.6all games
Difference−11.6vs the season average
Best17in that matchup
Every logged game against CLE
DateReceiving Yardsvs 24.5
17−7.5

Game log · Receiving Yards

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 24.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Game log · Receiving Yards, most recent game first
DateOppReceiving Yardsvs 24.5
NO20−4.5
TB11−13.5
IND44+19.5
CLE17−7.5
CIN30+5.5
NE32+7.5
ATL46+21.5