Next gameIND @ JAXhome vs INDSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Nate Boerkircher
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Receiving Yards projection against IND, largest first.
- Weak D (+6%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 favored)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
- Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
- Post-ByeDays of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Nate Boerkircher right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 8.5 | OVER | 9.6 | 3/6 | 52% | −6.1 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 2/6 | 38% | −6.8 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | 1/6 | 23% | −21.8 | no line | not listed |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 9.6 | 1/6 | 16% | −28.8 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 9.6 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 9.6 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Longest Receptiondemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Reception | 7.5 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs IND
No logged games against IND in the 6 games we hold.
Profile
Nate Boerkircher · Jacksonville Jaguars · #87
- Position
- Tight end
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 6′5″ · 195 cm
- Nationality
- USA
NFL 26/27 · regular season
Team history
- May 2026Jacksonville Jaguars to Jacksonville Jaguars
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Receiving Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 8.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | vs 8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 8 | −0.5 | |
| PHI | 20 | +11.5 | |
| CIN | 15 | +6.5 | |
| NE | 0 | −8.5 | |
| DEN | 0 | −8.5 | |
| CLE | 9 | +0.5 |