Next gameATL @ TBaway at TBSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Michael Penix Jr.
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against TB, largest first.
- Strong D (-3%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Michael Penix Jr. right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▲ | 5/5 | 83% | +16.7 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 169.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▲ | 5/5 | 83% | +16.7 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1.2▲ | 5/5 | 83% | +16.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 209.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▲ | 5/5 | 73% | +6.5 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 18.4 | 17.0▲ | 4/5 | 73% | +6.5 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
INT | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.2 | none | 4/5 | 62% | +3.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1.2▼ | 2/5 | 48% | +3.3 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 225.5 | UNDER | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 3/5 | 56% | −1.4 | 232.5▲, works against the UNDER | 228.5▲ |
Pass Completions | 19.5 | UNDER | 18.4 | 17.0▼ | 4/5 | 56% | −1.4 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 17.5 | OVER only | 18.4 | 17.0▼ | 4/5 | 64% | −2.8 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▲ | 3/5 | 63% | −3.3 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.7 | 10.6▲ | 3/5 | 53% | −4.8 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yards | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.7 | 10.6▲ | 3/5 | 53% | −4.8 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attempts | 32.5 | UNDER | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 3/5 | 52% | −5.5 | 31.5▼, supports the UNDER | 32.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 221.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 4/5 | 58% | −9.1 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 3/5 | 57% | −9.4 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 30.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 3/5 | 54% | −12.4 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 20.5 | OVER only | 18.4 | 17.0▼ | 1/5 | 28% | −17.1 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 33.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 1/5 | 24% | −20.8 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 18.4 | 17.0▼ | 1/5 | 24% | −21.1 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 239.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 2/5 | 22% | −22.5 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 241.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 1/5 | 11% | −33.7 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 249.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 1/5 | 9% | −36.0 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 34.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 0/5 | 8% | −37.2 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 374.5 | OVER only | 217.3 | 214.6▼ | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | 232.5▲ | 228.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 45.5 | OVER only | 28.5 | 27.5▼ | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | 31.5▲ | 32.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 18.4 | 17.0▼ | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1.2▼ | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
INTdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | none | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | none | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.0 | none | 0/5 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 49.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 44.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 39.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completion | 34.5, down from 36.5 at today's open | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Our record on Michael Penix Jr.
1–0 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | pass yards OVER 169.5 | 213 | Hit |
vs TB
No logged games against TB in the 5 games we hold.
Game log · Pass Yards
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 225.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 5, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass Yards | vs 225.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 213 | −12.5 | |
| CHI | 225 | −0.5 | |
| BAL | 240 | +14.5 | |
| NO | 223 | −2.5 | |
| GB | 256 | +30.5 |