Next gameEDM @ TORaway at TORTomorrow · 4:00 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
The adjustments behind tomorrow’s Plus/Minus projection against TOR, largest first.
1 published pick for Mattias Ekholm. Every published pick is paper-traded and graded from the box score.
8–9 · 47% hit · break-even 44.7%
Likely true rate 29–66%. Too close to break-even to call yet.
Every PrizePicks line for Mattias Ekholm right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plus/MinusdemonOn board | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 15/18 | 59% | +14.5 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | 7/18 | 46% | +1.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.8 | 10/18 | 59% | −8.1 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.5 | 7/18 | 47% | −19.5 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | 3/18 | 19% | −25.4 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.8 | 0/18 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
6–3 across 9 graded picks, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 1 | Hit |
| Nov 9 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 3 | Hit |
| Nov 5 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 0 | Miss |
| Nov 1 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 1 | Hit |
| Oct 31 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 2 | Hit |
| Oct 22 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | -1 | Miss |
| Oct 20 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 0 | Miss |
| Oct 17 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 3 | Hit |
| Oct 15 | plus/minus OVER 0.5 | 1 | Hit |
No logged games against TOR in the 18 games we hold.
Mattias Ekholm · Edmonton Oilers · #14
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Points / game | 0.56 |
| Plus/minus | +25 |
| Power-play points | 0 |
| Shooting % | 13.6% |
| Hits | 13 |
| Blocked shots | 18 |
| Penalty minutes | 26 |
| Game-winning goals | 0 |
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Most recent first, read against the OVER 0.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Plus/Minus | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1 | +0.5 | |
| NYR | 3 | +2.5 | |
| VAN | 1 | +0.5 | |
| ANA | 0 | −0.5 | |
| NJ | 1 | +0.5 | |
| NYR | 1 | +0.5 | |
| NYI | 2 | +1.5 | |
| CGY | 1 | +0.5 | |
| CAR | -1 | −1.5 | |
| MIN | 0 | −0.5 | |
| UTA | 3 | +2.5 | |
| UTA | 1 | +0.5 | |
| LA | 1 | +0.5 | |
| SJ | 1 | +0.5 | |
| ANA | 4 | +3.5 | |
| SEA | 1 | +0.5 | |
| VAN | 3 | +2.5 | |
| VAN | 2 | +1.5 |
