Next gameLAC @ LARhome vs LACSun, Nov 1 · 1:05 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Matthew Stafford
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against LAC, largest first.
- Weak D (+5%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Matthew Stafford right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Yardsgoblin | 189.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 40.4 | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 21.5 | OVER only | 27.5 | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 19.5 | OVER only | 27.5 | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 23.5 | OVER only | 27.5 | 4/7 | 51% | +6.2 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 24.5 | OVER only | 27.5 | 4/7 | 51% | +5.8 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 259.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 4/7 | 50% | +5.2 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Completions | 22.5 | OVER | 27.5 | 5/7 | 62% | +3.9 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 274.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 4/7 | 48% | +3.5 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 274.5 | OVER only | 287.9 | 4/7 | 47% | +2.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 35.5 | OVER only | 40.4 | 3/7 | 47% | +2.7 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 299.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 4/7 | 47% | +2.6 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 37.5 | OVER only | 40.4 | 3/7 | 47% | +2.1 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 299.5 | OVER only | 287.9 | 4/7 | 47% | +2.1 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 2.9 | 2/7 | 43% | −1.5 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 3/7 | 43% | −1.8 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Yds | 247.5, up from 234.5 at today's open | OVER | 287.9 | 4/7 | 56% | −2.1 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 224.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 4/7 | 64% | −2.6 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 5/7 | 64% | −2.6 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 287.9 | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 40.4 | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass Attempts | 33.5, up from 32.5 at today's open | OVER | 40.4 | 3/7 | 54% | −3.4 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 239.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 4/7 | 62% | −4.6 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 248.5, down from 265.5 at today's open | OVER | 304.2 | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Rush Attempts | 1.5 | OVER | 2.1 | 5/7 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | 1.5▲ |
INT | 0.5 | OVER | 0.9 | 5/7 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 45.5 | OVER only | 40.4 | 3/7 | 38% | −6.5 | no line | 33.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 5/7 | 59% | −8.1 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 224.5 | OVER only | 287.9 | 4/7 | 58% | −8.5 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsdemon | 31.5 | OVER only | 27.5 | 2/7 | 30% | −14.6 | no line | 22.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 349.5 | OVER only | 287.9 | 2/7 | 27% | −17.6 | no line | not listed |
INTdemon | 1.5, up from 0.5 at today's open | OVER only | 0.9 | 2/7 | 25% | −19.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsdemon | 379.5 | OVER only | 304.2 | 2/7 | 25% | −20.2 | 248.5▲ | 248.5–249.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 2.9 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.0 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 69.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 49.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 39.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completion | 36.5, up from 34.5 at today's open | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Rushdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Our record on Matthew Stafford
0–1 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | pass tds OVER 1.5 | 0 | Miss |
vs LAC
No logged games against LAC in the 7 games we hold.
Profile
Matthew Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · #9
- Position
- Quarterback
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 6′3″ · 190 cm
- Nationality
- USA
NFL 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Passer rating | 94.2 |
| Rush yds / game | 2.6 |
| Rush TD | 0 |
| Carries / game | 2.0 |
| Yards / carry | 1.3 |
Team history
- Mar 2021Detroit Lions to Los Angeles Rams
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Pass Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 248.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass Yards | vs 248.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV | 195 | −53.5 | |
| ARI | 222 | −26.5 | |
| BUF | 383 | +134.5 | |
| PHI | 317 | +68.5 | |
| DEN | 390 | +141.5 | |
| NYG | 327 | +78.5 | |
| SF | 155 | −93.5 |