Next gameNE @ MIAhome vs NESun, Nov 1 · 1:25 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Malik Willis
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass+Rush Yds projection against NE, largest first.
- Game total 44.5 (-0.6%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Malik Willis right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Completions | 16.5 | UNDER | 14.6 | 17.4▲ | 5/6 | 68% | +9.8 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 159.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 5/6 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass Attempts | 28.5 | UNDER | 25.2 | 27.5▼ | 5/6 | 62% | +3.9 | 27.5▼, supports the UNDER | 28.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | none | 3/6 | 48% | +2.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsdemon | 189.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▼ | 4/6 | 47% | +2.1 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 193.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▼ | 4/6 | 47% | +1.9 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 229.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 3/6 | 46% | +1.6 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 209.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 4/6 | 64% | −2.7 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 5/6 | 64% | −2.7 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 124.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▲ | 5/6 | 64% | −2.8 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 13.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▲ | 5/6 | 64% | −2.8 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 149.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▲ | 4/6 | 62% | −4.2 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Yds | 223.5 | UNDER | 211.6 | none | 3/6 | 53% | −5.0 | no line | 219.5–221.5▼ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 2/6 | 39% | −5.2 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 199.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▼ | 3/6 | 39% | −5.5 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 35.5 | OVER | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 4/6 | 52% | −5.5 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 34.5 | OVER | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 4/6 | 52% | −5.5 | 35.5▲, supports the OVER | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▲ | 4/6 | 61% | −5.9 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 24.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▲ | 4/6 | 61% | −5.9 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 19.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▲ | 4/6 | 61% | −5.9 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 185.5 | OVER | 167.2 | 184.5▼ | 4/6 | 50% | −7.4 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▼ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 159.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▲ | 4/6 | 59% | −7.5 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0.5▲ | 3/6 | 58% | −9.0 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 2/6 | 33% | −11.9 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 174.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▲ | 4/6 | 54% | −12.7 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 23.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▲ | 3/6 | 52% | −14.2 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▲ | 3/6 | 49% | −18.1 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 249.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 2/6 | 26% | −18.7 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▲ | 3/6 | 47% | −19.8 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
INTgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | none | 3/6 | 46% | −20.5 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 26.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▲ | 3/6 | 44% | −22.6 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0.5▼ | 1/6 | 20% | −24.6 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▼ | 1/6 | 20% | −25.1 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 59.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 1/6 | 19% | −25.3 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 17.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▼ | 1/6 | 18% | −27.2 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 30.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▼ | 1/6 | 17% | −27.2 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | none | 1/6 | 17% | −27.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▼ | 1/6 | 12% | −32.9 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▲ | 1/6 | 32% | −34.2 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 339.5 | OVER only | 211.6 | none | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 219.5–221.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 309.5 | OVER only | 167.2 | 184.5▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 185.5▲ | 174.5–184.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 94.5 | OVER only | 35.8 | 29.6▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 35.5▲ | 34.5–39.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 40.5 | OVER only | 25.2 | 27.5▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 27.5▲ | 28.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 26.5 | OVER only | 14.6 | 17.4▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 16.5▲ | 16.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0.5▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
INTdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | none | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 49.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 44.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 39.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completion | 33.5, down from 34.5 at today's open | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoredemon | 18.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Score | 15 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoregoblin | 11.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs NE
No logged games against NE in the 6 games we hold.
Game log · Pass+Rush Yds
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 223.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass+Rush Yds | vs 223.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ | 245 | +21.5 | |
| CIN | 211 | −12.5 | |
| MIN | 96 | −127.5 | |
| KC | 266 | +42.5 | |
| SF | 203 | −20.5 | |
| LV | 259 | +35.5 |
