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Luka Dončić
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Pts+Rebs+Asts projection against GSW, largest first.
- Game total 234.5 (+2.1%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Luka Dončić right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pts+Rebs+Astsgoblin | 39.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 18/20 | 73% | +6.5 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Pts+Rebsgoblin | 34.5 | OVER only | 39.7 | 18/20 | 73% | +6.5 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Reboundsgoblin | 4.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 19/20 | 73% | +6.5 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
FG Madedemon | 10.5 | OVER only | 10.8 | 15/20 | 51% | +6.0 | no line | not listed |
3-PT Madedemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 4.4 | 10/20 | 48% | +3.3 | 4.5▲ | 3.5–4.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 35.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 10/20 | 48% | +3.0 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+Astsdemon | 51.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 11/20 | 48% | +2.8 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Pts+Rebsdemon | 44.5 | OVER only | 39.7 | 9/20 | 47% | +2.6 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 9/20 | 46% | +1.8 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
Pts+Astsdemon | 44.5 | OVER only | 40.1 | 8/20 | 46% | +1.7 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
Rebs+Asts | 15.5 | UNDER | 13.3 | 12/20 | 59% | +1.6 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+Astsdemon | 54.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 8/20 | 45% | −0.2 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Rebounds | 7 | UNDER | 6.4 | 9/20 | 57% | −0.7 | 7.5▲, works against the UNDER | 7.5▲ |
Reboundsdemon | 7.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 11/20 | 43% | −1.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Pts+Astsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 40.1 | 7/20 | 43% | −1.7 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs | 41.5, up from 40.5 at today's open | OVER | 39.7 | 12/20 | 55% | −2.3 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Blks+Stlsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 2.3 | 10/20 | 42% | −2.7 | no line | not listed |
Pts+Rebs+Astsgoblin | 44.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 16/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Pts+AstsgoblinNot published: our last 6 graded NBA Pts+Asts OVER picks went 1–5. | 34.5 | OVER only | 40.1 | 16/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 18/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
Rebs+Astsgoblin | 12.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 15/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Rebs+Astsgoblin | 11.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 16/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Assistsgoblin | 6.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 14/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Assistsgoblin | 5.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 15/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
3-PT Madegoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 4.4 | 18/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 4.5▲ | 3.5–4.5▲ |
Stealsgoblin | 0.5, down from 1.5 at today's open | OVER only | 1.8 | 17/20 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Turnovers | 4.5 | UNDER | 4.3 | 11/20 | 55% | −2.9 | no line | not listed |
Free Throws Attempted | 9.5 | UNDER | 8.5 | 12/20 | 55% | −3.0 | no line | not listed |
Points | 34.5, up from 33.5 at today's open | OVER | 33.7 | 11/20 | 55% | −3.0 | 33.5▼, works against the OVER | 34.5▲ |
Pts+AstsNot published: our last 6 graded NBA Pts+Asts OVER picks went 1–5. | 42.5 | OVER | 40.1 | 10/20 | 55% | −3.1 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+Asts | 49.5 | OVER | 46.4 | 11/20 | 54% | −3.5 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Blocked Shotsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 9/20 | 41% | −3.8 | no line | not listed |
Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 1.8 | 13/20 | 54% | −4.1 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pts+AstsgoblinNot published: our last 6 graded NBA Pts+Asts OVER picks went 1–5. | 39.5 | OVER only | 40.1 | 13/20 | 62% | −5.0 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
FG Attempted | 23.5 | OVER | 22.5 | 15/20 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Assists | 8 | UNDER | 6.9 | 13/20 | 52% | −5.5 | 7.5▼, supports the UNDER | 7.5▼ |
FG Made | 10 | OVER | 10.8 | 15/20 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Two Pointers AttemptedNot published: our last 8 graded NBA Two Pointers Attempted OVER picks went 3–5. | 10.5 | OVER | 10.9 | 15/20 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Pointsgoblin | 31.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 13/20 | 61% | −5.5 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 15/20 | 61% | −5.5 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
3-PT Madedemon | 5.5 | OVER only | 4.4 | 7/20 | 39% | −6.1 | 4.5▲ | 3.5–4.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 8.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 7/20 | 38% | −6.4 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
3-PT Attempted | 12.5 | UNDER | 11.6 | 9/20 | 51% | −7.1 | no line | not listed |
Reboundsgoblin | 5.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 16/20 | 59% | −8.1 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
3-PT Madegoblin | 3.5 | OVER only | 4.4 | 14/20 | 59% | −8.1 | 4.5▲ | 3.5–4.5▲ |
Pts+Rebsgoblin | 39.5 | OVER only | 39.7 | 13/20 | 59% | −8.1 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+Astsgoblin | 47.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 11/20 | 56% | −10.9 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Free Throws Madegoblin | 7.5 | OVER only | 7.2 | 10/20 | 55% | −11.6 | no line | not listed |
Rebs+Astsdemon | 16.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 8/20 | 32% | −12.7 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Reboundsgoblin | 6.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 13/20 | 53% | −13.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Stealsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 8/20 | 29% | −15.9 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Personal Foulsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 2.3 | 4/20 | 28% | −16.4 | no line | not listed |
Assistsgoblin | 7.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 8/20 | 46% | −21.1 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 5/20 | 23% | −21.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Pts+Rebsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 39.7 | 4/20 | 19% | −25.2 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Rebs+Astsgoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 9/20 | 41% | −26.0 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Pts+Rebsdemon | 59.5 | OVER only | 39.7 | 3/20 | 16% | −29.2 | 41.5▲ | 41.5▲ |
Pts+Astsdemon | 59.5 | OVER only | 40.1 | 3/20 | 16% | −29.2 | 42.5▲ | 42.5▲ |
Pts+Rebs+Astsdemon | 69.5 | OVER only | 46.4 | 3/20 | 15% | −29.7 | 49.5▲ | 50.5▲ |
Reboundsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 5/20 | 13% | −31.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Stealsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 3/20 | 9% | −36.1 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 54.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 33.5▲ | 34.5▲ |
Rebs+Astsdemon | 24.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 0/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Rebs+Astsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 13.3 | 2/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 15.5▲ | 15.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 13.5 | OVER only | 6.9 | 0/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Reboundsdemon | 12.5 | OVER only | 6.4 | 0/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
3-PT Madedemon | 8.5 | OVER only | 4.4 | 2/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 4.5▲ | 3.5–4.5▲ |
Stealsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Blocked Shotsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Blocked Shotsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 2/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Double-Doubledemon | 0.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Triple-Doubledemon | 0.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs GSW
Every logged game against GSW (Pts+Rebs+Asts), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Pts+Rebs+Asts | vs 49.5 | Min |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | −6.5 | 30 |
Profile
Luka Dončić · Los Angeles Lakers · #77
- Position
- Point guard
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 6′7″ · 201 cm
- Nationality
- Slovenia
- Contract until
- Jun 2029
NBA 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| 3-pointers / game | 5.3 |
| Pts + reb + ast / game | 51.0 |
| Steals / game | 1.3 |
| Blocks / game | 0.5 |
| Turnovers / game | 5.8 |
| Field goal % | 48.4% |
| 3-point % | 39.6% |
| Free throw % | 87.5% |
| True shooting % | 66.3% |
| Usage rate | 39.3% |
| Player efficiency (PER) | 28.8 |
| Double-doubles | 1 |
| Triple-doubles | 0 |
| Plus/minus | +51 |
Team history
- Feb 2025Dallas Mavericks to Los Angeles Lakers
- Jun 2018Atlanta Hawks to Dallas Mavericks
- Jun 2018No team to Atlanta Hawks
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Pts+Rebs+Asts
Most recent first, read against the OVER 49.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pts+Rebs+Asts | vs 49.5 | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 55 | +5.5 | 37 | |
| UTAH | 70 | +20.5 | 38 | |
| LAC | 36 | −13.5 | 37 | |
| GS | 43 | −6.5 | 30 | |
| OKC | 23 | −26.5 | 26 | |
| CLE | 59 | +9.5 | 34 | |
| BKN | 52 | +2.5 | 39 | |
| IND | 56 | +6.5 | 38 | |
| DET | 45 | −4.5 | 39 | |
| ORL | 46 | −3.5 | 38 | |
| MIA | 70 | +20.5 | 38 | |
| HOU | 59 | +9.5 | 38 | |
| HOU | 46 | −3.5 | 40 | |
| DEN | 54 | +4.5 | 43 | |
| CHI | 70 | +20.5 | 37 | |
| MIN | 53 | +3.5 | 35 | |
| NY | 47 | −2.5 | 38 | |
| IND | 58 | +8.5 | 32 | |
| DEN | 45 | −4.5 | 40 | |
| NO | 44 | −5.5 | 38 |
