Next gameBUF @ ANAhome vs BUFToday · 7:00 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Leo Carlsson
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Shots On Goal projection against BUF, largest first.
- Strong D (-4%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Slow Pace (-4%)Expected pace versus league average.
- Game total 6.5 (+2.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- Power-play matchup (+0.1%, power-play share 19%)Opponent's penalty rate against this player's power-play role.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Leo Carlsson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 0.9 | 7/12 | 59% | +1.3 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 8/12 | 59% | −8.1 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 4/12 | 36% | −8.6 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 5/12 | 41% | −26.1 | no line | 2.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 0/12 | 5% | −61.7 | no line | 2.5▲ |
Time On Ice | 19.3 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Our record on Leo Carlsson
1–0 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12 | time on ice UNDER 19.8 | 18 | Hit |
vs BUF
No logged games against BUF in the 12 games we hold.
Game log · Shots On Goal
Most recent first, read against the OVER 1.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 12, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Shots On Goal | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 1 | −0.5 | |
| PHI | 2 | +0.5 | |
| NJ | 1 | −0.5 | |
| NYI | 2 | +0.5 | |
| NYR | 2 | +0.5 | |
| BOS | 1 | −0.5 | |
| CGY | 2 | +0.5 | |
| CGY | 2 | +0.5 | |
| WPG | 1 | −0.5 | |
| EDM | 0 | −1.5 | |
| FLA | 0 | −1.5 | |
| VGK | 1 | −0.5 |