Lamar Jackson

Season avg206.8Pass Yards · −30.7 vs 237.5

Sample1713 under 237.5

Live lines46none on today’s board

vs BUF209.0avg over 1 game

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against BUF, largest first.

Weak D (+10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
Game total 54 (+8.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
AwayHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Lamar Jackson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.

Every live PrizePicks line for Lamar Jackson, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Attempts	30.5	UNDER	24.8	29.9	14/17	69%	+11.2	30.5	30.5
Pass Completions	19.5, down from 20.5 at today's open	UNDER	15.7	19.1	15/17	68%	+10.3	19.5	20.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	179.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	12/17	73%	+6.5	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	174.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	13/17	73%	+6.5	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	169.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	13/17	73%	+6.5	237.5	236.5–249.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	9.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	15/17	73%	+6.5	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass+Rush Yds	270.5	UNDER	257.1	none	13/17	62%	+3.9	no line	not listed
Rush Attemptsdemon	4.5	OVER only	5.8	6.1	10/17	48%	+3.6	4.5	4.5
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	8/17	47%	+2.5	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	5.5	OVER only	5.8	6.1	9/17	47%	+2.0	4.5	4.5
Rush Attempts	4	OVER	5.8	6.1	10/17	57%	−1.0	4.5, supports the OVER	4.5
Pass Yards	237.5	UNDER	241.7	246.6	13/17	55%	−2.3	237.5	236.5–249.5
INTdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.6	none	7/17	42%	−2.7	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsgoblin	19.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	11/17	64%	−2.8	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Attemptsgoblin	3.5	OVER only	5.8	6.1	13/17	64%	−2.8	4.5	4.5
Rush Attemptsgoblin	2.5	OVER only	5.8	6.1	13/17	64%	−2.8	4.5	4.5
Pass TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.6	1.5	13/17	64%	−2.8	1.5	1.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	24.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	10/17	62%	−5.0	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Yards	25.5	OVER	32.2	39.5	10/17	52%	−5.5	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass TDs	1.5	OVER	1.6	1.5	8/17	51%	−7.0	1.5	1.5
Rush Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	5/17	32%	−12.3	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Yardsdemon	249.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	2/17	24%	−21.0	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass Yardsdemon	247.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	2/17	24%	−21.0	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	229.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	5/17	45%	−22.1	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass Yardsdemon	257.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	2/17	22%	−22.3	237.5	236.5–249.5
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.6	1.5	4/17	17%	−27.3	1.5	1.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.2	none	3/17	17%	−27.3	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsdemon	287.5	OVER only	241.7	246.6	2/17	15%	−29.5	237.5	236.5–249.5
Rush Yardsdemon	49.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	2/17	15%	−29.7	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	31.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	2/17	12%	−32.4	30.5	30.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	25.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	6/17	34%	−32.8	30.5	30.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	15.7	19.1	5/17	32%	−34.7	19.5	20.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	28.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	5/17	31%	−35.6	30.5	30.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	5/17	31%	−35.6	30.5	30.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	32.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	1/17	8%	−36.4	30.5	30.5
Rush Yardsdemon	95.5	OVER only	32.2	39.5	0/17	5%	−39.7	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	43.5	OVER only	24.8	29.9	0/17	5%	−39.7	30.5	30.5
Pass Completionsdemon	29.5	OVER only	15.7	19.1	0/17	5%	−39.7	19.5	20.5
Pass Completionsdemon	23.5	OVER only	15.7	19.1	0/17	5%	−39.7	19.5	20.5
Pass Completionsdemon	21.5	OVER only	15.7	19.1	0/17	5%	−39.7	19.5	20.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	9.5	OVER only	5.8	6.1	0/17	5%	−39.7	4.5	4.5
Pass TDsdemon	3.5	OVER only	1.6	1.5	2/17	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.6	none	0/17	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoredemon	22.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Score	18.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs BUF

Every logged game against BUF (Pass Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.

vs BUF209.0avg over 1 game

Season avg206.8all games

Difference+2.2vs the season average

Best209in that matchup

Every logged game against BUF
Date	Pass Yards	vs 237.5
Sep 7, 2025	209	−28.5

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 237.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.

Last 1511/15 cleared

237.5

15 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 237.5
Oct 4	TEN	222	−15.5
Sep 27	DAL	186	−51.5
Sep 20	NO	235	−2.5
Sep 13	IND	324	+86.5
Jan 4	PIT	238	+0.5
Dec 21, 2025	NE	101	−136.5
Dec 14, 2025	CIN	150	−87.5
Dec 7, 2025	PIT	219	−18.5
Nov 27, 2025	CIN	246	+8.5
Nov 23, 2025	NYJ	153	−84.5
Nov 16, 2025	CLE	193	−44.5
Nov 9, 2025	MIN	176	−61.5
Oct 30, 2025	MIA	204	−33.5
Sep 28, 2025	KC	147	−90.5
Sep 22, 2025	DET	288	+50.5
Sep 14, 2025	CLE	225	−12.5
Sep 7, 2025	BUF	209	−28.5