Next gameATL @ TBaway at TBSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Receiving Yards projection against TB, largest first.
- Strong D (-3%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Kyle Pitts Sr. right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | none | 3/7 | 48% | +3.3 | no line | not listed |
Receiving Yards | 37.5 | UNDER | 26.1 | 32.8▼ | 4/7 | 60% | +2.0 | 35.5▼, supports the UNDER | 36.5▼ |
Receptions | 3.5 | UNDER | 2.7 | 2.8▼ | 4/7 | 56% | −2.0 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 14.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receptionsgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 2.7 | 2.8▲ | 4/7 | 62% | −4.9 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▼ | 3/7 | 39% | −5.8 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.7 | 2.8▼ | 3/7 | 37% | −7.3 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 19.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▲ | 4/7 | 59% | −8.1 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 29.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▲ | 3/7 | 46% | −20.3 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▼ | 1/7 | 17% | −27.6 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 59.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▼ | 1/7 | 13% | −31.3 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 115.5 | OVER only | 26.1 | 32.8▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 35.5▲ | 36.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 8.5 | OVER only | 2.7 | 2.8▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 5.5 | OVER only | 2.7 | 2.8▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Longest Receptiondemon | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiondemon | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiondemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Reception | 15.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiongoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiongoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoredemon | 13 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Score | 9 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoregoblin | 6 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Rec Targets | 5.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs TB
No logged games against TB in the 7 games we hold.
Profile
Kyle Pitts Sr. · Atlanta Falcons · #8
- Position
- Tight end
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 6′6″ · 198 cm
- Nationality
- USA
NFL 26/27 · regular season
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Receiving Yards
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 37.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | vs 37.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 22 | −15.5 | |
| CHI | 60 | +22.5 | |
| BAL | 42 | +4.5 | |
| NO | 47 | +9.5 | |
| GB | 5 | −32.5 | |
| CAR | 15 | −22.5 | |
| PIT | 0 | −37.5 |