Next gameLAC @ LARaway at LARSun, Nov 1 · 1:05 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Keaton Mitchell
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush+Rec Yds projection against LAR, largest first.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
- Post-ByeDays of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Keaton Mitchell right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rush Attemptsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 6.0 | 5.5▲ | 4/6 | 56% | +11.3 | no line | 4.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 1.2▼ | 3/6 | 48% | +3.5 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 23.4 | 26.2▲ | 3/6 | 47% | +2.5 | 14.5▲ | 14.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 8.9 | 7.2▼ | 3/6 | 47% | +2.2 | 6.5▲ | 6.5–9.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin | 24.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | none | 4/6 | 65% | −1.3 | 24.5▲ | 24.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 15.5 | OVER | 23.4 | 26.2▲ | 3/6 | 55% | −3.1 | 14.5▼, works against the OVER | 14.5▼ |
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 6.5, down from 7.5 at today's open | OVER | 8.9 | 7.2▲ | 3/6 | 54% | −3.8 | 6.5▲ | 6.5–9.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Yds | 26.5, up from 24.5 at today's open | OVER | 33.7 | none | 4/6 | 52% | −5.5 | 24.5▼, works against the OVER | 24.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | 23.4 | 26.2▲ | 4/6 | 59% | −8.1 | 14.5▲ | 14.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | none | 2/6 | 35% | −10.1 | 24.5▲ | 24.5–39.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 23.4 | 26.2▼ | 2/6 | 35% | −10.2 | 14.5▲ | 14.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | none | 1/6 | 20% | −25.1 | 24.5▲ | 24.5–39.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 8.9 | 7.2▼ | 1/6 | 18% | −26.8 | 6.5▲ | 6.5–9.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.2 | none | 1/6 | 18% | −27.1 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 23.4 | 26.2▼ | 1/6 | 17% | −27.6 | 14.5▲ | 14.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 1.2▼ | 1/6 | 16% | −28.4 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 1.2▼ | 1/6 | 12% | −32.7 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 69.5 | OVER only | 33.7 | none | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 24.5▲ | 24.5–39.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 66.5 | OVER only | 8.9 | 7.2▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 6.5▲ | 6.5–9.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 8.9 | 7.2▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 6.5▲ | 6.5–9.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 65.5 | OVER only | 23.4 | 26.2▼ | 0/6 | 5% | −39.7 | 14.5▲ | 14.5▲ |
Longest Receptiondemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Reception | 6.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Rush | 7.5, down from 8.5 at today's open | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs LAR
No logged games against LAR in the 6 games we hold.
Profile
Keaton Mitchell · Los Angeles Chargers · #34
- Position
- Running back
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 5′8″ · 172 cm
- Nationality
- USA
NFL 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Rec yds / game | 8.7 |
| Rec TD | 1 |
| Targets / game | 2.5 |
| Yards / catch | 4.3 |
Team history
- Mar 2026Joined Los Angeles Chargers
- May 2023Joined Baltimore Ravens
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Rush+Rec Yds
Most recent first, read against the OVER 26.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Rush+Rec Yds | vs 26.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 4 | −22.5 | |
| DEN | 29 | +2.5 | |
| SEA | 63 | +36.5 | |
| BUF | 47 | +20.5 | |
| LV | 39 | +12.5 | |
| ARI | 9 | −17.5 |
