Justin Herbert

Season avg190.2Pass Yards · −12.3 vs 202.5

Sample63 under 202.5

Live lines35none on today’s board

vs LAR—no logged games vs LAR

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against LAR, largest first.

AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
Post-ByeDays of rest before this game.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Justin Herbert right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Justin Herbert, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Yardsgoblin	149.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	5/6	73%	+6.5	205.5	199.5–201.5
INTgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.5	none	6/6	73%	+6.5	no line	not listed
Pass Attempts	31.5	UNDER	31.2	30.3	4/6	57%	−0.7	no line	31.5–32.5
Pass Yards	202.5	UNDER	192.2	192.8	3/6	55%	−2.3	205.5, works against the UNDER	199.5–201.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	179.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	5/6	64%	−2.8	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	174.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	5/6	64%	−2.8	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	15.5	OVER only	18.0	20.0	4/6	64%	−2.8	no line	18.5
Pass TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	5/6	64%	−2.8	1.5	1.5
Rush Yards	25.5	OVER	28.0	22.9	4/6	52%	−5.5	23.5, works against the OVER	24.5
Pass Completions	18.5	OVER	18.0	20.0	3/6	50%	−7.4	no line	18.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	31.2	30.3	3/6	59%	−7.5	no line	31.5–32.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	31.2	30.3	3/6	59%	−7.5	no line	31.5–32.5
INTdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.5	none	2/6	36%	−8.3	no line	not listed
Pass Attemptsdemon	33.5	OVER only	31.2	30.3	2/6	36%	−9.0	no line	31.5–32.5
Pass Completionsdemon	19.5	OVER only	18.0	20.0	2/6	35%	−9.5	no line	18.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	18.0	20.0	3/6	56%	−10.4	no line	18.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	3/6	46%	−20.6	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	35.5	OVER only	31.2	30.3	1/6	22%	−22.9	no line	31.5–32.5
Pass Completionsdemon	21.5	OVER only	18.0	20.0	1/6	19%	−26.0	no line	18.5
Pass Yardsdemon	219.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	1/6	18%	−26.3	205.5	199.5–201.5
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.5	none	0/6	9%	−36.0	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsdemon	329.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	0/6	5%	−39.7	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Yardsdemon	299.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	0/6	5%	−39.7	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Yardsdemon	249.5	OVER only	192.2	192.8	0/6	5%	−39.7	205.5	199.5–201.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	43.5	OVER only	31.2	30.3	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	31.5–32.5
Pass Completionsdemon	27.5	OVER only	18.0	20.0	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	18.5
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	0/6	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
Pass TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	0/6	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.0	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	49.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	44.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	39.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completion	33.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	24.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs LAR

No logged games against LAR in the 6 games we hold.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 202.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.

Last 63/6 cleared

202.5

6 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 202.5
Oct 18	KC	204	+1.5
Oct 11	DEN	121	−81.5
Oct 4	SEA	189	−13.5
Sep 27	BUF	226	+23.5
Sep 20	LV	192	−10.5
Sep 13	ARI	209	+6.5