Next gameCAR @ GBhome vs CARToday · 5:15 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Jonnu Smith
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Receiving Yards projection against CAR, largest first.
- Weak D (+10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Game total 47.5 (+2.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
- Short Week (Thu)Days of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Jonnu Smith right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 2.5 | OVER | 14.2 | 9.0▲ | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | 4.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.0 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
vs CAR
No logged games against CAR in the 7 games we hold.
Game log · Receiving Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 2.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Receiving Yards | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 9 | +6.5 | |
| DAL | 0 | −2.5 | |
| CHI | 0 | −2.5 | |
| TB | 19 | +16.5 | |
| ATL | 16 | +13.5 | |
| NYJ | 0 | −2.5 | |
| MIN | 50 | +47.5 |