Next gameIND @ JAXaway at JAXSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Jonathan Taylor
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush+Rec Yds projection against JAX, largest first.
- Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 underdog)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
- Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Jonathan Taylor right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 89.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 5/7 | 62% | +17.6 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 66.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▲ | 6/7 | 62% | +17.5 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin | 69.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin | 59.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 39.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsgoblin | 13.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 17.6▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 17.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 17.6▲ | 6/7 | 56% | +11.1 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin | 74.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 49.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▲ | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 69.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▼ | 5/7 | 51% | +6.1 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 99.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 4/7 | 50% | +5.3 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Yds | 81.5 | OVER | 106.2 | none | 6/7 | 62% | +4.5 | 86.5▲, supports the OVER | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 62.5, down from 63.5 at today's open | OVER | 70.5 | 68.0▲ | 6/7 | 62% | +4.5 | 63.5▲, supports the OVER | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 79.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▼ | 5/7 | 48% | +3.1 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▼ | 4/7 | 48% | +2.9 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Rush Attempts | 17 | OVER | 17.2 | 17.6▲ | 6/7 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Receptions | 2.5 | UNDER | 2.0 | 2.1▼ | 4/7 | 56% | −1.4 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Anytime TDs | 0.5 | OVER | 1.1 | none | 5/7 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | not listed |
Rush TDs | 0.5 | OVER | 1.1 | none | 5/7 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | not listed |
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 17.5 | OVER | 21.5 | 16.1▼ | 4/7 | 55% | −2.6 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▼ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 59.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 9.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 4.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 17.6▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Receptionsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 2.1▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▼ | 3/7 | 40% | −4.7 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 17.6▼ | 4/7 | 39% | −5.3 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | none | 3/7 | 31% | −13.4 | no line | not listed |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▼ | 2/7 | 24% | −20.6 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 17.6▼ | 2/7 | 15% | −29.5 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 2.1▼ | 1/7 | 12% | −32.5 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon | 159.5 | OVER only | 106.2 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 86.5▲ | 79.5–85.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 142.5 | OVER only | 70.5 | 68.0▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 63.5▲ | 59.5–64.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 67.5 | OVER only | 21.5 | 16.1▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 17.5▲ | 14.5–16.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 5.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 2.1▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 2.0 | 2.1▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Fantasy Scoredemon | 18 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Score | 14 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoregoblin | 10 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs JAX
No logged games against JAX in the 7 games we hold.
Game log · Rush+Rec Yds
Most recent first, read against the OVER 81.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Rush+Rec Yds | vs 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 110 | +28.5 | |
| TEN | 151 | +69.5 | |
| PIT | 82 | +0.5 | |
| WSH | 97 | +15.5 | |
| HOU | 72 | −9.5 | |
| KC | 132 | +50.5 | |
| BAL | 121 | +39.5 |