Joe Burrow

Season avg275.5Pass Yards · +7.0 vs 268.5

Sample63 over 268.5

Live lines52none on today’s board

vs TEN—no logged games vs TEN

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against TEN, largest first.

Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 favored)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
Game total 47 (+2.2%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Joe Burrow right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Joe Burrow, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Completionsgoblin	21.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	5/6	73%	+6.5	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	4.5	OVER only	9.8	12.2	5/6	73%	+6.5	5.5	4.5
Rush Yardsdemon	9.5	OVER only	9.8	12.2	4/6	50%	+5.8	5.5	4.5
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	2.5	2.1	3/6	48%	+3.2	2.5	2.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	289.5	OVER only	280.2	none	3/6	48%	+2.9	no line	279.5
Pass Yardsdemon	279.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	3/6	47%	+2.6	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass Completions	25.5	UNDER	26.2	24.1	4/6	58%	0.0	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Yards	7.5	OVER	9.8	12.2	4/6	56%	−1.4	5.5, works against the OVER	4.5
Pass TDsgoblin	1.5	OVER only	2.5	2.1	4/6	64%	−2.8	2.5	2.5
Pass+Rush Yds	277.5	OVER	280.2	none	3/6	55%	−3.1	no line	279.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	299.5	OVER only	280.2	none	2/6	41%	−3.4	no line	279.5
Pass Yards	268.5	OVER	271.5	285.5	3/6	54%	−3.7	269.5, supports the OVER	266.5–274.5
Pass Attempts	36.5	UNDER	36.2	35.0	4/6	52%	−5.5	37.5, works against the UNDER	36.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	249.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	4/6	60%	−6.3	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	219.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	4/6	60%	−6.3	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	209.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	4/6	60%	−6.3	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	269.5	OVER only	280.2	none	4/6	60%	−6.6	no line	279.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	219.5	OVER only	280.2	none	4/6	60%	−6.6	no line	279.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	209.5	OVER only	280.2	none	4/6	60%	−6.6	no line	279.5
Pass Completionsdemon	27.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	2/6	37%	−7.8	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	31.5	OVER only	36.2	35.0	4/6	59%	−8.1	37.5	36.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	259.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	3/6	56%	−10.7	269.5	266.5–274.5
INTdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.5	none	2/6	32%	−12.6	no line	not listed
Pass Completionsgoblin	23.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	3/6	53%	−13.4	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	37.5	OVER only	36.2	35.0	1/6	30%	−14.9	37.5	36.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	33.5	OVER only	36.2	35.0	3/6	52%	−15.0	37.5	36.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	24.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	3/6	51%	−16.0	25.5	24.5–25.5
Pass Yardsdemon	299.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	1/6	27%	−18.2	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	39.5	OVER only	36.2	35.0	1/6	26%	−18.9	37.5	36.5
Pass Completionsdemon	29.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	1/6	24%	−20.8	25.5	24.5–25.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.2	none	1/6	19%	−25.7	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsdemon	349.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	1/6	18%	−27.1	269.5	266.5–274.5
Rush Yardsdemon	14.5	OVER only	9.8	12.2	1/6	18%	−27.2	5.5	4.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	399.5	OVER only	280.2	none	1/6	14%	−30.3	no line	279.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	49.5	OVER only	36.2	35.0	1/6	13%	−32.2	37.5	36.5
Pass Yardsdemon	409.5	OVER only	271.5	285.5	1/6	12%	−33.0	269.5	266.5–274.5
Pass Completionsdemon	37.5	OVER only	26.2	24.1	1/6	12%	−33.1	25.5	24.5–25.5
Rush Yardsdemon	19.5	OVER only	9.8	12.2	1/6	10%	−35.0	5.5	4.5
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	9.8	12.2	0/6	5%	−39.7	5.5	4.5
Pass TDsdemon	4.5	OVER only	2.5	2.1	0/6	5%	−39.7	2.5	2.5
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.5	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	54.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	44.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	39.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completion	38.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	34.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoredemon	24.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Score	20.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin	16.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Rushdemon	9.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Rush	5.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs TEN

No logged games against TEN in the 6 games we hold.

Profile

Joe Burrow · Cincinnati Bengals · #9

Position: Quarterback
Age: 29
Height: 6′4″ · 193 cm
Nationality: USA

NFL 26/27 · regular season

Games6

Pass yds / game275.5

Pass TD15

Interceptions thrown3

Completion %71.7%

Yards / attempt7.5

NFL 26/27 · regular season statistics
Stat	Value
Passer rating	110.4
Rush yds / game	10.0
Rush TD	1
Carries / game	2.8
Yards / carry	3.5

Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 268.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.

Last 63/6 cleared

268.5

6 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 268.5
Oct 25	BAL	292	+23.5
Oct 11	MIA	190	−78.5
Oct 4	JAX	428	+159.5
Sep 27	PIT	282	+13.5
Sep 20	HOU	207	−61.5
Sep 13	TB	254	−14.5