Next gameKC @ DENhome vs KCSun, Nov 1 · 1:25 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
J.K. Dobbins
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush Yards projection against KC, largest first.
- Strong D (-10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Game total 40.5 (-5.1%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for J.K. Dobbins right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▼ | 6/7 | 62% | +17.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 19.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsgoblin | 5.5 | OVER only | 10.9 | 7.1▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 10.9 | 7.1▼ | 5/7 | 51% | +6.6 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 23.5 | OVER | 36.9 | 25.2▲ | 6/7 | 62% | +4.7 | 22.5–23.5▼, works against the OVER | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Attempts | 7.5 | OVER | 10.9 | 7.1▼ | 6/7 | 62% | +3.9 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▼ | 4/7 | 47% | +2.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.4 | none | 3/7 | 47% | +2.6 | no line | not listed |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 11.5 | OVER only | 10.9 | 7.1▼ | 3/7 | 46% | +1.5 | 7.5▲ | 7.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▼ | 1/7 | 17% | −27.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 99.5 | OVER only | 36.9 | 25.2▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 22.5–23.5▲ | 23.5–24.5▲ |
Longest Rushdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 8.5▲ |
Longest Rushdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 8.5▲ |
Longest Rush | 8.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 8.5▲ |
vs KC
Every logged game against KC (Rush Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Rush Yards | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | +12.5 |
Game log · Rush Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 23.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Rush Yards | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 23 | −0.5 | |
| SEA | 41 | +17.5 | |
| LAC | 68 | +44.5 | |
| SF | 40 | +16.5 | |
| LAR | 49 | +25.5 | |
| JAX | 36 | +12.5 | |
| KC | 36 | +12.5 |