Next gameCLE @ PIThome vs CLESun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
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Jaylen Warren
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush Yards projection against CLE, largest first.
- Game total 38.5 (-7.5%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- Strong D (-5%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Jaylen Warren right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Receiving Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▼ | 5/7 | 62% | +17.3 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 14.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 9.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▲ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 39.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 7/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 19.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▲ | 7/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Receptionsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 3.1 | 2.9▲ | 7/7 | 73% | +6.5 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 69.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 4/7 | 50% | +5.3 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 22.5 | OVER | 38.0 | 24.1▲ | 7/7 | 62% | +4.3 | 25.5▲, supports the OVER | 24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 79.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 4/7 | 48% | +3.0 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 89.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▼ | 4/7 | 47% | +2.1 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Receptionsgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 3.1 | 2.9▲ | 5/7 | 66% | −0.7 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Anytime TDs | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.3 | none | 6/7 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 59.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 4/7 | 64% | −2.5 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 49.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.5 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 64.5, down from 65.5 at today's open | OVER | 73.5 | 80.0▲ | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Rush+Rec Yds | 95.5 | OVER | 114.0 | none | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | 95.5▲ | 94.5▼ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▼ | 2/7 | 36% | −8.3 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 3.1 | 2.9▼ | 2/7 | 30% | −14.6 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 3.1 | 2.9▼ | 2/7 | 22% | −22.5 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▼ | 1/7 | 22% | −22.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | none | 1/7 | 11% | −33.6 | no line | not listed |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 79.5 | OVER only | 38.0 | 24.1▼ | 1/7 | 10% | −34.9 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 135.5 | OVER only | 73.5 | 80.0▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 64.5▲ | 64.5–69.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 6.5 | OVER only | 3.1 | 2.9▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Longest Rushdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 15.5▲ |
Longest Rushdemon | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 15.5▲ |
Longest Rushdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 15.5▲ |
Longest Rush | 15.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 15.5▲ |
Longest Rushgoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 15.5▲ |
Longest Receptiondemon | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiondemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiondemon | 14.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Reception | 13.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiongoblin | 9.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoredemon | 18.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Score | 14.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Fantasy Scoregoblin | 10.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs CLE
Every logged game against CLE (Rush Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Rush Yards | vs 64.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 93 | +28.5 |
Profile
Jaylen Warren · Pittsburgh Steelers · #30
- Position
- Running back
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 5′8″ · 172 cm
- Nationality
- USA
NFL 26/27 · regular season
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Rec yds / game | 42.0 |
| Rec TD | 1 |
| Targets / game | 4.9 |
| Yards / catch | 12.3 |
Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.
Game log · Rush Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 64.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Rush Yards | vs 64.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 101 | +36.5 | |
| TB | 50 | −14.5 | |
| IND | 101 | +36.5 | |
| CLE | 93 | +28.5 | |
| CIN | 127 | +62.5 | |
| NE | 43 | −21.5 | |
| ATL | 46 | −18.5 |
