Next gameMTL @ DALhome vs MTLToday · 5:00 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Jason Robertson
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Shots On Goal projection against MTL, largest first.
- Slow Pace (-4%)Expected pace versus league average.
- Power-play matchup (+2.1%, power-play share 17%)Opponent's penalty rate against this player's power-play role.
- Game total 6 (-2.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Jason Robertson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 3.4 | 11/12 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 3.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 5/12 | 44% | −1.2 | no line | 0.5–1.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 3.4 | 9/12 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 3.5▲ |
Assists | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.7 | 6/12 | 51% | −6.6 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 8/12 | 59% | −8.1 | no line | 0.5–1.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.4 | 4/12 | 33% | −11.5 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 2/12 | 20% | −25.0 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.4 | 1/12 | 11% | −33.4 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5–1.5▲ |
Time On Ice | 20.5 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Power Play Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | 0.5▲ |
Our record on Jason Robertson
1–1 across 2 graded picks, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | goals OVER 0.5 | 0 | Miss |
| Apr 7 | shots on goal OVER 2.5 | 6 | Hit |
vs MTL
No logged games against MTL in the 12 games we hold.
Game log · Shots On Goal
Most recent first, read against the OVER 1.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 12, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Shots On Goal | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 3 | +1.5 | |
| NYI | 3 | +1.5 | |
| WPG | 4 | +2.5 | |
| BOS | 3 | +1.5 | |
| CHI | 7 | +5.5 | |
| COL | 3 | +1.5 | |
| COL | 2 | +0.5 | |
| PIT | 3 | +1.5 | |
| BUF | 4 | +2.5 | |
| SJ | 4 | +2.5 | |
| NSH | 1 | −0.5 | |
| STL | 2 | +0.5 |