PropEdge
NFLNYJ

Next gameLV @ NYJhome vs LVSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT

refreshes every ~15 min

Geno Smith

Season avg231.9Pass Yards · +9.4 vs 222.5
Sample74 over 222.5
Live lines39none on today’s board
vs LV—no logged games vs LV

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against LV, largest first.

  • Weak D (+10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
  • Game total 45.5 (+0.6%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
  • HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Geno Smith right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Geno Smith, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
StatLineSideProjOutside projClearedModelvs BEBooksOther apps
Pass Yardsgoblin
174.5OVER only261.6232.96/773%+6.5219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Yardsgoblin
159.5OVER only261.6232.96/773%+6.5219.5221.5–224.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin
179.5OVER only239.0none6/773%+6.5no line239.5
Pass Completionsgoblin
15.5OVER only21.221.06/773%+6.520.519.5
Pass TDsgoblin
0.5OVER only1.51.66/773%+6.51.51.5
Pass Yardsdemon
229.5OVER only261.6232.94/751%+6.4219.5221.5–224.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon
249.5OVER only239.0none4/748%+3.5no line239.5
Pass Yardsdemon
249.5OVER only261.6232.93/748%+3.2219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Completionsdemon
20.5OVER only21.221.03/747%+1.920.519.5
Pass TDs
1.5UNDER1.51.65/760%+1.81.51.5
Pass Completionsdemon
21.5OVER only21.221.03/746%+1.520.519.5
Pass+Rush Yds
236.5OVER239.0none4/759%+1.1no line239.5
Pass Yards
222.5OVER261.6232.94/756%−1.4219.5, works against the OVER221.5–224.5
Pass Attempts
30.5UNDER30.031.25/756%−1.429.5, supports the UNDER30.5
Pass Yardsgoblin
209.5OVER only261.6232.95/764%−2.8219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Yardsgoblin
199.5OVER only261.6232.95/764%−2.8219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin
25.5OVER only30.031.25/764%−2.829.530.5
Pass Completions
19.5OVER21.221.04/752%−5.520.5, supports the OVER19.5
Rush Yards
6.5UNDER6.712.93/752%−5.87.5, works against the UNDER7.5–9.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin
224.5OVER only239.0none4/760%−6.9no line239.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin
199.5OVER only239.0none5/760%−6.9no line239.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin
27.5OVER only30.031.25/759%−8.129.530.5
Pass Completionsgoblin
17.5OVER only21.221.05/759%−8.120.519.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon
274.5OVER only239.0none2/733%−12.1no line239.5
Rush Yardsgoblin
4.5OVER only6.712.94/753%−13.47.57.5–9.5
Pass Attemptsdemon
31.5OVER only30.031.22/731%−13.629.530.5
Rush Yardsdemon
9.5OVER only6.712.92/727%−17.77.57.5–9.5
Pass Attemptsdemon
33.5OVER only30.031.22/727%−17.729.530.5
Pass TDsdemon
2.5OVER only1.51.62/726%−18.31.51.5
Pass Yardsdemon
299.5OVER only261.6232.91/719%−25.4219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Completionsdemon
27.5OVER only21.221.01/715%−29.520.519.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon
299.5OVER only239.0none1/714%−30.8no line239.5
Pass Yardsdemon
349.5OVER only261.6232.90/75%−39.7219.5221.5–224.5
Pass Attemptsdemon
41.5OVER only30.031.20/75%−39.729.530.5
Rush Yardsdemon
39.5OVER only6.712.90/75%−39.77.57.5–9.5
Rush Yardsdemon
29.5OVER only6.712.90/75%−39.77.57.5–9.5
Rush Yardsdemon
19.5OVER only6.712.90/75%−39.77.57.5–9.5
Pass TDsdemon
3.5OVER only1.51.60/75%−39.71.51.5
Anytime TDsdemon
0.5OVER only0.0none0/75%−39.7no linenot listed

vs LV

No logged games against LV in the 7 games we hold.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 222.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
DateOppPass Yardsvs 222.5
MIA287+64.5
NE252+29.5
CLE182−40.5
CHI119−103.5
DET321+98.5
GB247+24.5
TEN215−7.5