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Next gameFAU @ UNTaway at UNTToday · 4:30 PM PT

refreshes every ~15 min

Ethan Ervin

Season avg52.6Rush Yards · +16.1 vs 36.5
Sample74 over 36.5
Live lines10none on today’s board
vs UNT—no logged games vs UNT

Today’s context

The adjustments behind today’s Rush Yards projection against UNT, largest first.

  • AwayHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Ethan Ervin right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin, or No record yet where no pick of that sport and prop type has been graded yet. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Ethan Ervin, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
StatLineSideProjClearedModelvs BEBooksOther apps
Rush Yardsdemon
39.5OVER only52.44/748%+3.436.536.5
Rush YardsNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days.
36.5OVER52.44/757%No record yet36.536.5
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days.
29.5OVER only52.45/764%No record yet36.536.5
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days.
19.5OVER only52.46/764%No record yet36.536.5
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days.
14.5OVER only52.46/764%No record yet36.536.5
Rush Yardsdemon
49.5OVER only52.43/741%−3.436.536.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Receiving Yards OVER demons went 3–6 over the last 30 days.
2.5OVER only6.34/759%No record yetno line2.5
Rush Yardsdemon
124.5OVER only52.41/79%−35.336.536.5
Anytime TDsdemon
1.5OVER only0.30/75%−39.7no linenot listed
Longest Rushgoblin
11.5OVER onlynot projectedno logno game log—no linenot listed

vs UNT

No logged games against UNT in the 7 games we hold.

Game log · Rush Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 36.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Game log · Rush Yards, most recent game first
DateOppRush Yardsvs 36.5
RICE7−29.5
ARMY46+9.5
TXSO23−13.5
ULM139+102.5
FIU36−0.5
NAVY67+30.5
FLA50+13.5