Next gameUTA @ PIThome vs UTAToday · 4:00 PM PT
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Erik Karlsson
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Shots On Goal projection against UTA, largest first.
- Strong D (-12%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Power-play matchup (+2.9%, power-play share 14%)Opponent's penalty rate against this player's power-play role.
- Game total 6.5 (+2.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
- Well RestedDays of rest before this game.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Erik Karlsson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 1.0 | 9/12 | 56% | −1.4 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 9/12 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.6 | 6/12 | 53% | −13.8 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 3/12 | 28% | −17.2 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 2/12 | 18% | −26.3 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | 1/12 | 12% | −33.1 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.6 | 1/12 | 6% | −38.4 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 1.6 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.6 | 3/12 | 23% | −44.0 | 2.5▲ | 2.5▲ |
Time On Ice | 23.8 | no call | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Our record on Erik Karlsson
1–0 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.
| Date | Pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | assists OVER 0.5 | 1 | Hit |
vs UTA
Every logged game against UTA (Shots On Goal), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Shots On Goal | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | −0.5 |
Game log · Shots On Goal
Most recent first, read against the OVER 1.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 12, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Shots On Goal | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 2 | +0.5 | |
| FLA | 3 | +1.5 | |
| UTA | 1 | −0.5 | |
| VGK | 1 | −0.5 | |
| COL | 2 | +0.5 | |
| CHI | 1 | −0.5 | |
| DAL | 2 | +0.5 | |
| CBJ | 0 | −1.5 | |
| WSH | 4 | +2.5 | |
| WPG | 1 | −0.5 | |
| MTL | 0 | −1.5 | |
| PHI | 3 | +1.5 |