Next gameCLE @ PITaway at PITSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Dylan Sampson
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush Yards projection against PIT, largest first.
- Game total 38.5 (-7.5%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- Strong D (-7%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Dylan Sampson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rush Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 12.6 | 20.1▲ | 6/16 | 47% | +1.9 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days. | 10.5 | OVER | 15.5 | 13.5▲ | 8/16 | 58% | 0.0 | no line | 9.5▼ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 3.8 | 4.5▲ | 5/16 | 43% | −1.5 | no line | 4.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 13.5 | OVER | 12.6 | 20.1▲ | 7/16 | 56% | −2.0 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Receptionsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1.8▲ | 9/16 | 63% | −3.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 15.5 | 13.5▼ | 5/16 | 40% | −4.4 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 15.5 | 13.5▼ | 4/16 | 31% | −13.3 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 12.6 | 20.1▼ | 2/16 | 23% | −21.3 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Receiving Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 15.5 | 13.5▼ | 3/16 | 17% | −28.1 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Receptionsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.8 | 1.8▼ | 3/16 | 13% | −31.6 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 12.6 | 20.1▼ | 1/16 | 11% | −33.4 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | none | 2/16 | 10% | −34.5 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 12.6 | 20.1▼ | 0/16 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Longest Receptiondemon | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Receptiondemon | 19.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Reception | 8.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Rushgoblin | 6.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs PIT
Every logged game against PIT (Rush Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Rush Yards | vs 13.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | +13.5 | |
| 12 | −1.5 |
Game log · Rush Yards
Most recent first, read against the OVER 13.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Rush Yards | vs 13.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN | 45 | +31.5 | |
| CIN | 32 | +18.5 | |
| PIT | 27 | +13.5 | |
| TEN | 4 | −9.5 | |
| SF | 23 | +9.5 | |
| LV | 23 | +9.5 | |
| BAL | 19 | +5.5 | |
| NYJ | -4 | −17.5 | |
| NE | 0 | −13.5 | |
| MIA | 8 | −5.5 | |
| PIT | 12 | −1.5 | |
| MIN | -4 | −17.5 | |
| DET | -2 | −15.5 | |
| GB | 2 | −11.5 | |
| BAL | 6 | −7.5 | |
| CIN | 29 | +15.5 |