Next gameCLE @ PITaway at PITSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Deshaun Watson
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass+Rush Yds projection against PIT, largest first.
- Game total 38.5 (-7.5%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Deshaun Watson right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 179.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 169.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 14.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 7/7 | 83% | +16.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 239.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 4/7 | 47% | +2.1 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yards | 23.5 | OVER | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 4/7 | 56% | −2.2 | 25.5▲, supports the OVER | 24.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 149.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Rush Yardsgoblin | 19.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 18.6▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.9 | 1.3▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 249.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 3/7 | 41% | −3.6 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yards | 206.5 | UNDER | 175.6 | 207.5▲ | 4/7 | 54% | −3.7 | 210.5▲, works against the UNDER | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▲ | 5/7 | 63% | −4.0 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass Completions | 19.5 | UNDER | 17.2 | 18.6▼ | 4/7 | 53% | −4.8 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Attempts | 31.5 | UNDER | 27.6 | 28.2▼ | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | 30.5▼, supports the UNDER | 31.5▲ |
INT | 0.5 | UNDER | 0.4 | none | 4/7 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | not listed |
Pass+Rush Yds | 231.5 | OVER | 224.0 | none | 4/7 | 51% | −6.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 159.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▲ | 5/7 | 59% | −8.1 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 219.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▼ | 3/7 | 36% | −9.1 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 220.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▼ | 3/7 | 35% | −9.3 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 3/7 | 35% | −9.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 229.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▼ | 3/7 | 34% | −11.2 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▼ | 5/7 | 55% | −11.5 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 18.6▼ | 3/7 | 33% | −11.9 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 219.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 4/7 | 54% | −13.0 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsdemon | 23.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 18.6▼ | 3/7 | 29% | −16.0 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 17.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 18.6▲ | 3/7 | 47% | −19.6 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 200.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▲ | 4/7 | 46% | −20.7 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▲ | 4/7 | 46% | −20.7 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.9 | 1.3▼ | 2/7 | 22% | −22.3 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | none | 1/7 | 19% | −25.2 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 2/7 | 19% | −26.0 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 33.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▼ | 1/7 | 17% | −28.0 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 35.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▼ | 1/7 | 14% | −30.6 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 349.5 | OVER only | 224.0 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsdemon | 340.5 | OVER only | 175.6 | 207.5▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 210.5▲ | 199.5–207.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 69.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 49.5 | OVER only | 25.3 | 13.2▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 25.5▲ | 24.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 43.5 | OVER only | 27.6 | 28.2▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 30.5▲ | 31.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 27.5 | OVER only | 17.2 | 18.6▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 19.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.9 | 1.3▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.4 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 49.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 44.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 39.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completion | 33.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Rushdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 9.5▲ |
Longest Rush | 9.5 | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | 9.5▲ |
vs PIT
Every logged game against PIT (Pass+Rush Yds), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Pass+Rush Yds | vs 231.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 290 | +58.5 |
Game log · Pass+Rush Yds
Most recent first, read against the OVER 231.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass+Rush Yds | vs 231.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN | 327 | +95.5 | |
| BAL | 193 | −38.5 | |
| NYJ | 195 | −36.5 | |
| PIT | 290 | +58.5 | |
| CAR | 189 | −42.5 | |
| TB | 260 | +28.5 | |
| JAX | 243 | +11.5 |
