Derrick Henry

Season avg92.4Rush+Rec Yds · −0.1 vs 92.5

Sample75 under 92.5

Live lines44none on today’s board

vs BUF—no logged games vs BUF

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush+Rec Yds projection against BUF, largest first.

Game total 54 (+8.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
AwayHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Derrick Henry right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Derrick Henry, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Rush Attemptsgoblin	15.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	7/7	83%	+16.7	18.5	18.5
Rush Attemptsgoblin	13.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	7/7	83%	+16.7	18.5	18.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	19.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	4/7	56%	+11.2	18.5	18.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	49.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	6/7	73%	+6.5	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Receptionsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.6	1.2	7/7	73%	+6.5	1.5	1.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	21.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	4/7	50%	+5.8	18.5	18.5
Rush Yardsdemon	82.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	3/7	47%	+2.0	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	9.5	OVER only	10.9	10.4	3/7	44%	−0.4	6.5	6.5–9.5
Anytime TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.2	none	5/7	66%	−1.1	no line	not listed
Rush Attempts	18.5	OVER	24.5	17.0	4/7	56%	−1.4	18.5	18.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	69.5	OVER only	99.0	none	5/7	64%	−2.2	91.5	89.5–92.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	59.5	OVER only	99.0	none	6/7	64%	−2.2	91.5	89.5–92.5
Rush+Rec Yds	92.5	UNDER	99.0	none	5/7	52%	−5.5	91.5, supports the UNDER	89.5–92.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	4.5	OVER only	10.9	10.4	4/7	61%	−5.5	6.5	6.5–9.5
Rush Yardsdemon	89.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	2/7	38%	−6.4	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Rush Yards	81.5	UNDER	93.7	77.2	4/7	51%	−6.6	80.5–82.5 split	79.5–81.5
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	6.5	OVER	10.9	10.4	3/7	50%	−7.4	6.5	6.5–9.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	59.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	5/7	59%	−8.1	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Rush Attemptsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	4/7	59%	−8.1	18.5	18.5
Receptionsdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.6	1.2	2/7	35%	−9.9	1.5	1.5
Rush Yardsdemon	99.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	2/7	33%	−11.9	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	99.5	OVER only	99.0	none	2/7	32%	−12.5	91.5	89.5–92.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	79.5	OVER only	99.0	none	4/7	53%	−13.6	91.5	89.5–92.5
Anytime TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.2	none	2/7	28%	−16.8	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsgoblin	79.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	3/7	50%	−16.8	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Receptionsdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.6	1.2	1/7	16%	−29.2	1.5	1.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	27.5	OVER only	24.5	17.0	0/7	11%	−34.0	18.5	18.5
Anytime TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.2	none	1/7	9%	−35.4	no line	not listed
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	149.5	OVER only	99.0	none	1/7	9%	−36.0	91.5	89.5–92.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	19.5	OVER only	10.9	10.4	0/7	7%	−37.5	6.5	6.5–9.5
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	179.5	OVER only	99.0	none	0/7	5%	−39.7	91.5	89.5–92.5
Rush Yardsdemon	174.5	OVER only	93.7	77.2	0/7	5%	−39.7	80.5–82.5	79.5–81.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	66.5	OVER only	10.9	10.4	0/7	5%	−39.7	6.5	6.5–9.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	10.9	10.4	0/7	5%	−39.7	6.5	6.5–9.5
Receptionsdemon	3.5	OVER only	1.6	1.2	0/7	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
Longest Rushdemon	34.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	17.5
Longest Rushdemon	24.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	17.5
Longest Rushdemon	19.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	17.5
Longest Rush	17.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	17.5
Longest Rushgoblin	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	17.5
Fantasy Scoredemon	20	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Score	16	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin	12	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Rec Targets	1.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs BUF

No logged games against BUF in the 7 games we hold.

Game log · Rush+Rec Yds

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 92.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Last 75/7 cleared

92.5

7 games agolast game

Game log · Rush+Rec Yds, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Rush+Rec Yds	vs 92.5
Oct 25	CIN	49	−43.5
Oct 18	CLE	60	−32.5
Oct 11	ATL	120	+27.5
Oct 4	TEN	79	−13.5
Sep 27	DAL	89	−3.5
Sep 20	NO	87	−5.5
Sep 13	IND	163	+70.5