NFLCAR

Next gameCAR @ GBaway at GBToday · 5:15 PM PT

refreshes every ~15 min

Darren Waller

Season avg33.0Receiving Yards · +13.5 vs 19.5
Sample65 over 19.5
Live lines21none on today’s board
vs GB—no logged games vs GB

Today’s context

The adjustments behind today’s Receiving Yards projection against GB, largest first.

  • Strong D (-5%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
  • Game total 47.5 (+2.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
  • AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
  • Short Week (Thu)Days of rest before this game.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Darren Waller right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Darren Waller, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
StatLineSideProjOutside projClearedModelvs BEBooksOther apps
Receiving Yardsdemon
24.5OVER only29.430.05/662%+17.419.519.5–24.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
9.5OVER only29.430.05/673%+6.519.519.5–24.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
29.5OVER only29.430.04/650%+5.519.519.5–24.5
Receiving YardsNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
19.5OVER29.430.05/662%+4.419.519.5–24.5
Anytime TDsdemon
0.5OVER only0.5none2/642%−2.6no linenot listed
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.
14.5OVER only29.430.05/664%−2.819.519.5–24.5
Receptionsdemon
2.5OVER only2.12.93/640%−4.72.52.5
Receptionsgoblin
1.5OVER only2.12.94/658%−8.42.52.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
39.5OVER only29.430.02/634%−10.319.519.5–24.5
Receptionsdemon
3.5OVER only2.12.91/615%−29.52.52.5
Receiving Yardsdemon
69.5OVER only29.430.00/65%−39.719.519.5–24.5
Receptionsdemon
6.5OVER only2.12.90/65%−39.72.52.5
Longest Receptiondemon
24.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiondemon
19.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiondemon
14.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Reception
12.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Longest Receptiongoblin
9.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no line12.5
Fantasy Scoredemon
8.5OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Fantasy Score
5.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin
3OVER onlynot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed
Rec Targets
3.5no callnot projectednoneno logno game log—no linenot listed

vs GB

No logged games against GB in the 6 games we hold.

Game log · Receiving Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 19.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.

Game log · Receiving Yards, most recent game first
DateOppReceiving Yardsvs 19.5
TB50+30.5
PHI0−19.5
DET36+16.5
CLE51+31.5
ATL33+13.5
CHI28+8.5