Next gameIND @ JAXaway at JAXSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
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Daniel Jones
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against JAX, largest first.
- Strong D (-10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 underdog)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
- Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- AwayHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Daniel Jones right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▲ | 6/7 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 32.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▼ | 4/7 | 50% | +4.9 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 33.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▼ | 4/7 | 48% | +3.2 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 209.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 4/7 | 48% | +2.9 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▲ | 4/7 | 47% | +2.6 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
Pass Attempts | 31.5 | OVER | 33.2 | 30.5▼ | 4/7 | 59% | +1.7 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 199.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 4/7 | 46% | +1.4 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 200.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 4/7 | 45% | +0.1 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▼ | 4/7 | 43% | −1.9 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 209.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▼ | 4/7 | 43% | −2.1 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Yds | 199.5 | OVER | 204.7 | none | 4/7 | 55% | −2.6 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 124.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 17.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▲ | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
INTgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | none | 6/7 | 64% | −2.8 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 149.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 5/7 | 64% | −2.9 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 194.5 | UNDER | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 3/7 | 54% | −4.2 | 188.5▼, supports the UNDER | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 8.5 | UNDER | 8.2 | 12.8▲ | 4/7 | 50% | −7.6 | 8.5▲ | 8.5–9.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 179.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 4/7 | 59% | −8.0 | no line | not listed |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 149.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 5/7 | 59% | −8.0 | no line | not listed |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 18.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▲ | 6/7 | 59% | −8.1 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 189.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 4/7 | 57% | −9.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 249.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 2/7 | 32% | −13.1 | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 174.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 4/7 | 52% | −14.6 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass TDsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 0.7▲ | 4/7 | 51% | −15.9 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 180.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▲ | 4/7 | 50% | −16.3 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | none | 1/7 | 23% | −21.9 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 14.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 12.8▼ | 1/7 | 22% | −22.6 | 8.5▲ | 8.5–9.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 12.8▼ | 1/7 | 16% | −28.9 | 8.5▲ | 8.5–9.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | none | 1/7 | 15% | −29.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 43.5 | OVER only | 33.2 | 30.5▼ | 1/7 | 12% | −32.3 | no line | 31.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 12.8▼ | 1/7 | 11% | −33.9 | 8.5▲ | 8.5–9.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 330.5 | OVER only | 170.4 | 202.9▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 188.5▲ | 189.5–199.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 309.5 | OVER only | 204.7 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 48.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 12.8▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 8.5▲ | 8.5–9.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 28.5 | OVER only | 19.1 | 20.3▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 18.5–19.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 0.7▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.5 | 0.7▼ | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
INTdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | none | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
vs JAX
No logged games against JAX in the 7 games we hold.
Game log · Pass Yards
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 194.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass Yards | vs 194.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 108 | −86.5 | |
| TEN | 269 | +74.5 | |
| PIT | 267 | +72.5 | |
| WSH | 143 | −51.5 | |
| HOU | 235 | +40.5 | |
| KC | 210 | +15.5 | |
| BAL | 166 | −28.5 |