Dak Prescott

Season avg264.4Pass Yards · −12.1 vs 276.5

Sample73 over 276.5

Live lines37none on today’s board

vs ARI—no logged games vs ARI

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against ARI, largest first.

Weak D (+10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
Game total 54.5 (+8.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Dak Prescott right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Dak Prescott, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Completionsdemon	23.5	OVER only	27.2	24.1	5/7	59%	+14.7	22.5	22.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	34.5	OVER only	41.4	36.3	4/7	56%	+11.4	33.5	33.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	35.5	OVER only	41.4	36.3	4/7	56%	+11.1	33.5	33.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	219.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	5/7	73%	+6.5	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	41.4	36.3	6/7	73%	+6.5	33.5	33.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	4.5	OVER only	13.5	14.1	6/7	73%	+6.5	8.5	8.5–9.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	19.5	OVER only	27.2	24.1	6/7	73%	+6.5	22.5	22.5
Pass Completionsdemon	25.5	OVER only	27.2	24.1	3/7	47%	+2.4	22.5	22.5
Pass Completions	22.5	OVER	27.2	24.1	5/7	59%	+1.7	22.5	22.5
Pass Yardsdemon	289.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	2/7	46%	+1.5	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Attempts	33.5	OVER	41.4	36.3	5/7	56%	−1.4	33.5	33.5
Pass Yardsdemon	299.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	2/7	43%	−1.9	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Yards	276.5	OVER	311.9	305.0	3/7	55%	−2.8	278.5, supports the OVER	274.5–277.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	249.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	5/7	64%	−2.8	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	229.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	5/7	64%	−2.8	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	31.5	OVER only	41.4	36.3	5/7	64%	−2.8	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	21.5	OVER only	27.2	24.1	6/7	64%	−2.8	22.5	22.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	274.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	4/7	62%	−4.9	278.5	274.5–277.5
Pass Yardsdemon	309.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	2/7	40%	−5.1	278.5	274.5–277.5
Rush Yards	8.5	UNDER	13.5	14.1	4/7	51%	−6.5	8.5	8.5–9.5
Rush Yardsdemon	14.5	OVER only	13.5	14.1	2/7	32%	−12.4	8.5	8.5–9.5
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	1.9	2.4	2/7	32%	−13.0	2.5	2.5
Pass Completionsdemon	31.5	OVER only	27.2	24.1	2/7	29%	−15.8	22.5	22.5
Pass TDsgoblin	1.5	OVER only	1.9	2.4	3/7	51%	−15.9	2.5	2.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	45.5	OVER only	41.4	36.3	1/7	25%	−19.5	33.5	33.5
Rush Yardsdemon	19.5	OVER only	13.5	14.1	1/7	17%	−28.2	8.5	8.5–9.5
Pass Yardsdemon	424.5	OVER only	311.9	305.0	0/7	5%	−39.7	278.5	274.5–277.5
Rush Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	13.5	14.1	0/7	5%	−39.7	8.5	8.5–9.5
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	13.5	14.1	0/7	5%	−39.7	8.5	8.5–9.5
Pass TDsdemon	4.5	OVER only	1.9	2.4	0/7	5%	−39.7	2.5	2.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.0	none	0/7	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	54.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	49.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	44.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completion	39.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	34.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

Our record on Dak Prescott

1–0 across 1 graded pick, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.

Graded picks on Dak Prescott
Date	Pick	Actual	Result
Oct 26	pass yards OVER 74.5	212	Hit

vs ARI

No logged games against ARI in the 7 games we hold.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 276.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Last 73/7 cleared

276.5

7 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 276.5
Oct 26	PHI	212	−64.5
Oct 18	GB	258	−18.5
Oct 8	TB	316	+39.5
Oct 4	HOU	335	+58.5
Sep 27	BAL	276	−0.5
Sep 20	WSH	279	+2.5
Sep 13	NYG	175	−101.5