Chase Brown

Season avg71.3Rush+Rec Yds · −7.2 vs 78.5

Sample64 under 78.5

Live lines44none on today’s board

vs TEN—no logged games vs TEN

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Rush+Rec Yds projection against TEN, largest first.

Blowout risk (-4%, market spread 10.5 favored)Wide point spread: starters may sit late. Projection lowered by the % shown.
Game total 47 (+2.2%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Chase Brown right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Chase Brown, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Rush Attemptsgoblin	9.5	OVER only	13.4	16.3	5/6	73%	+6.5	no line	13.5
Receptionsgoblin	2.5	OVER only	4.6	4.0	5/6	73%	+6.5	3.5	3.5
Rush Yards	51.5	UNDER	47.1	65.9	3/6	60%	+2.0	51.5–52.5, works against the UNDER	49.5–51.5
Receptions	3.5	OVER	4.6	4.0	3/6	59%	+1.4	3.5	3.5
Rush+Rec Yds	78.5	UNDER	69.9	none	4/6	59%	+1.3	76.5, supports the UNDER	77.5–79.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	59.5	OVER only	69.9	none	5/6	64%	−2.8	76.5	77.5–79.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	5/6	64%	−2.8	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	9.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	4/6	64%	−2.8	20.5	20.5–24.5
Rush Attemptsgoblin	11.5	OVER only	13.4	16.3	4/6	63%	−3.3	no line	13.5
Receiving Yards	21.5	UNDER	23.5	25.0	4/6	52%	−5.5	20.5, supports the UNDER	20.5–24.5
Rush Attempts	13.5	UNDER	13.4	16.3	4/6	52%	−5.5	no line	13.5
Receptionsdemon	4.5	OVER only	4.6	4.0	2/6	38%	−7.2	3.5	3.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	14.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	4/6	59%	−8.1	20.5	20.5–24.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	24.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	1/6	32%	−13.0	20.5	20.5–24.5
Receiving YardsgoblinNot published: our graded NFL Receiving Yards OVER demons went 4–5 over the last 30 days.	19.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	3/6	52%	−14.4	20.5	20.5–24.5
Rush Yardsdemon	59.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	2/6	29%	−16.0	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	1/6	28%	−16.7	20.5	20.5–24.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	39.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	3/6	49%	−17.3	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	15.5	OVER only	13.4	16.3	2/6	26%	−18.5	no line	13.5
Receptionsdemon	5.5	OVER only	4.6	4.0	1/6	24%	−20.9	3.5	3.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	69.5	OVER only	69.9	none	3/6	44%	−22.5	76.5	77.5–79.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	1/6	21%	−23.5	20.5	20.5–24.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	49.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	3/6	42%	−24.9	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Rush+Rec Ydsgoblin	74.5	OVER only	69.9	none	3/6	41%	−25.7	76.5	77.5–79.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.2	none	1/6	15%	−29.7	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsdemon	69.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	1/6	15%	−29.9	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Receptionsdemon	7.5	OVER only	4.6	4.0	1/6	14%	−31.0	3.5	3.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	17.5	OVER only	13.4	16.3	1/6	14%	−31.2	no line	13.5
Receiving Yardsdemon	59.5	OVER only	23.5	25.0	1/6	13%	−32.1	20.5	20.5–24.5
Rush Yardsdemon	79.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	1/6	11%	−33.9	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Rush Attemptsdemon	19.5	OVER only	13.4	16.3	1/6	9%	−35.2	no line	13.5
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	149.5	OVER only	69.9	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	76.5	77.5–79.5
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	99.5	OVER only	69.9	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	76.5	77.5–79.5
Rush+Rec Ydsdemon	89.5	OVER only	69.9	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	76.5	77.5–79.5
Rush Yardsdemon	124.5	OVER only	47.1	65.9	0/6	5%	−39.7	51.5–52.5	49.5–51.5
Anytime TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	0.2	none	0/6	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Rushdemon	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	13.5
Longest Rushdemon	19.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	13.5
Longest Rushdemon	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	13.5
Longest Rush	13.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	13.5
Longest Rushgoblin	9.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	13.5
Longest Receptiondemon	19.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Receptiondemon	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Reception	9.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs TEN

No logged games against TEN in the 6 games we hold.

Game log · Rush+Rec Yds

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 78.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 6, oldest on the left.

Last 64/6 cleared

78.5

6 games agolast game

Game log · Rush+Rec Yds, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Rush+Rec Yds	vs 78.5
Oct 25	BAL	58	−20.5
Oct 11	MIA	60	−18.5
Oct 4	JAX	81	+2.5
Sep 27	PIT	69	−9.5
Sep 20	HOU	82	+3.5
Sep 13	TB	78	−0.5