Caleb Williams

Season avg34.5Pass Attempts · +2.0 vs 32.5

Sample2014 over 32.5

Live lines45none on today’s board

vs SEA—no logged games vs SEA

Monday’s context

The adjustments behind Monday’s Pass Attempts projection against SEA, largest first.

Game total 46.5 (+1.7%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
AwayHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Caleb Williams right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Caleb Williams, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Attemptsgoblin	25.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	20/20	83%	+16.7	31.5	32.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	289.1	none	17/20	73%	+6.5	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	189.5	OVER only	289.1	none	17/20	73%	+6.5	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsgoblin	174.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	17/20	73%	+6.5	227.5	224.5–227.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	169.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	18/20	73%	+6.5	227.5	224.5–227.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	18/20	73%	+6.5	31.5	32.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	15.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	18/20	73%	+6.5	19.5	19.5–20.5
Pass TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.6	1.3	16/20	73%	+6.5	1.5	1.5
Pass TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.6	1.3	11/20	51%	+6.0	1.5	1.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	259.5	OVER only	289.1	none	11/20	51%	+6.0	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsdemon	237.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	12/20	51%	+5.8	227.5	224.5–227.5
Pass Yardsdemon	239.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	11/20	50%	+5.4	227.5	224.5–227.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	33.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	12/20	48%	+3.4	31.5	32.5
Pass Yardsdemon	249.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	10/20	48%	+3.3	227.5	224.5–227.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	34.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	10/20	47%	+2.4	31.5	32.5
Pass Completionsdemon	21.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	7/20	46%	+1.7	19.5	19.5–20.5
Pass+Rush Yds	252.5	OVER	289.1	none	13/20	56%	−1.4	no line	not listed
Pass Attempts	32.5	OVER	35.9	33.0	14/20	56%	−1.4	31.5, works against the OVER	32.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	299.5	OVER only	289.1	none	7/20	43%	−1.7	no line	not listed
INT	0.5	UNDER	0.7	none	11/20	56%	−1.9	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsdemon	24.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	7/20	42%	−2.6	21.5	19.5–21.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	239.5	OVER only	289.1	none	13/20	64%	−2.8	no line	not listed
Pass Yardsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	15/20	64%	−2.8	227.5	224.5–227.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	9.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	16/20	64%	−2.8	21.5	19.5–21.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	30.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	15/20	64%	−2.8	31.5	32.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	18.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	14/20	64%	−2.8	19.5	19.5–20.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	14/20	64%	−2.8	19.5	19.5–20.5
Rush Yards	20.5	UNDER	23.4	24.4	11/20	53%	−4.4	21.5, works against the UNDER	19.5–21.5
Pass Yards	229.5	OVER	228.8	203.7	12/20	52%	−5.5	227.5, works against the OVER	224.5–227.5
Pass Completions	20	OVER	21.0	20.7	8/20	52%	−5.7	19.5, works against the OVER	19.5–20.5
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	6/20	37%	−7.6	21.5	19.5–21.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	219.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	13/20	59%	−8.1	227.5	224.5–227.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	14.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	13/20	59%	−8.1	21.5	19.5–21.5
Pass Completionsdemon	22.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	5/20	35%	−9.6	19.5	19.5–20.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	19.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	10/20	52%	−14.7	21.5	19.5–21.5
Rush Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	5/20	28%	−16.9	21.5	19.5–21.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.2	none	3/20	19%	−25.5	no line	not listed
INTdemon	1.5	OVER only	0.7	none	2/20	16%	−28.8	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	379.5	OVER only	289.1	none	1/20	7%	−37.4	no line	not listed
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.7	none	1/20	7%	−38.0	no line	not listed
Pass Attemptsdemon	45.5	OVER only	35.9	33.0	1/20	6%	−38.3	31.5	32.5
Pass Yardsdemon	359.5	OVER only	228.8	203.7	1/20	5%	−39.6	227.5	224.5–227.5
Rush Yardsdemon	71.5	OVER only	23.4	24.4	0/20	5%	−39.7	21.5	19.5–21.5
Pass Completionsdemon	30.5	OVER only	21.0	20.7	0/20	5%	−39.7	19.5	19.5–20.5
Pass TDsdemon	3.5	OVER only	1.6	1.3	0/20	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5

Our record on Caleb Williams

2–0 across 2 graded picks, newest first. Voided (did-not-play) picks are left out.

Graded picks on Caleb Williams
Date	Pick	Actual	Result
Oct 22	rush attempts OVER 2.5	5	Hit
Oct 22	pass attempts OVER 27.5	33	Hit

vs SEA

No logged games against SEA in the 20 games we hold.

Profile

Caleb Williams · Chicago Bears · #18

Position: Quarterback
Age: 24
Height: 6′1″ · 185 cm
Nationality: USA

NFL 26/27 · regular season

Games4

Pass yds / game255.0

Pass TD5

Interceptions thrown1

Completion %71.0%

Yards / attempt8.2

NFL 26/27 · regular season statistics
Stat	Value
Passer rating	105.6
Rush yds / game	32.0
Rush TD	2
Carries / game	6.0
Yards / carry	5.3

Team history

Jul 2024Chicago Bears to Chicago Bears

Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.

Game log · Pass Attempts

Most recent first, read against the OVER 32.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.

Last 1511/15 cleared

32.5

15 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Attempts, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Attempts	vs 32.5
Oct 22	NE	33	+0.5
Oct 18	ATL	36	+3.5
Sep 20	MIN	26	−6.5
Sep 13	CAR	29	−3.5
Jan 18	LAR	42	+9.5
Jan 10	GB	48	+15.5
Jan 4	DET	33	+0.5
Dec 28, 2025	SF	42	+9.5
Dec 20, 2025	GB	34	+1.5
Dec 14, 2025	CLE	28	−4.5
Dec 7, 2025	GB	35	+2.5
Nov 28, 2025	PHI	36	+3.5
Nov 23, 2025	PIT	35	+2.5
Nov 16, 2025	MIN	32	−0.5
Nov 9, 2025	NYG	36	+3.5
Nov 2, 2025	CIN	34	+1.5
Oct 26, 2025	BAL	38	+5.5
Oct 19, 2025	NO	26	−6.5
Oct 13, 2025	WSH	29	−3.5
Sep 28, 2025	LV	37	+4.5