Bo Nix

Season avg181.6Pass Yards · −24.9 vs 206.5

Sample74 under 206.5

Live lines54none on today’s board

vs KC131.0avg over 1 game

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against KC, largest first.

Strong D (-10%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
Game total 40.5 (-5.1%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
Denver altitude (+3% pass)Altitude effect at Denver.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Bo Nix right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.

Every live PrizePicks line for Bo Nix, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Completions	20.5	UNDER	18.3	21.6	5/7	64%	+6.2	20.5	20.5
Pass Attempts	33	UNDER	30.8	34.0	5/7	61%	+3.4	33.5, works against the UNDER	33.5
Pass+Rush Yds	225.5	UNDER	186.8	none	5/7	57%	−0.4	no line	225.5–229.5
Pass Yards	206.5	UNDER	162.3	198.3	4/7	57%	−0.4	206.5	199.5–205.5
Rush Yards	15.5	UNDER	14.1	15.5	6/7	56%	−1.4	15.5	14.5–16.5
Pass TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	6/7	64%	−2.8	1.5	1.5
Rush Yardsgoblin	4.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	5/7	59%	−8.1	15.5	14.5–16.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	5/7	59%	−8.1	33.5	33.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	169.5	OVER only	186.8	none	4/7	58%	−9.1	no line	225.5–229.5
Pass Yardsdemon	209.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	3/7	35%	−9.3	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	149.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	4/7	57%	−9.4	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	179.5	OVER only	186.8	none	4/7	56%	−10.7	no line	225.5–229.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.3	none	2/7	33%	−11.4	no line	not listed
Rush Yardsgoblin	9.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	3/7	54%	−12.6	15.5	14.5–16.5
Rush Yardsdemon	19.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	1/7	31%	−13.8	15.5	14.5–16.5
INTdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.4	none	3/7	31%	−14.0	no line	not listed
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	239.5	OVER only	186.8	none	2/7	30%	−15.1	no line	225.5–229.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	174.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	4/7	50%	−16.3	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	179.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	4/7	49%	−17.6	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass Yardsdemon	216.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	2/7	27%	−18.1	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass Yardsdemon	219.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	2/7	26%	−18.7	206.5	199.5–205.5
Rush Yardsdemon	29.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	1/7	24%	−20.3	15.5	14.5–16.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	3/7	46%	−20.6	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsdemon	21.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	2/7	22%	−23.2	20.5	20.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	3/7	43%	−24.0	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin	219.5	OVER only	186.8	none	3/7	43%	−24.0	no line	225.5–229.5
Rush Yardsdemon	39.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	1/7	19%	−25.5	15.5	14.5–16.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	2/7	40%	−27.0	20.5	20.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	31.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	2/7	39%	−27.8	33.5	33.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	35.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	1/7	16%	−28.6	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	19.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	2/7	36%	−30.6	20.5	20.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	18.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	2/7	36%	−30.6	20.5	20.5
Pass TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	1/7	14%	−30.7	1.5	1.5
Pass Completionsdemon	22.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	1/7	13%	−31.6	20.5	20.5
Rush Yardsdemon	67.5	OVER only	14.1	15.5	1/7	13%	−31.9	15.5	14.5–16.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	37.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	1/7	12%	−32.5	33.5	33.5
Pass Yardsdemon	346.5	OVER only	162.3	198.3	0/7	5%	−39.7	206.5	199.5–205.5
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon	339.5	OVER only	186.8	none	0/7	5%	−39.7	no line	225.5–229.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	45.5	OVER only	30.8	34.0	0/7	5%	−39.7	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsdemon	30.5	OVER only	18.3	21.6	0/7	5%	−39.7	20.5	20.5
Pass TDsdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.9	1.0	0/7	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
INTdemon	2.5	OVER only	0.4	none	0/7	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	49.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	44.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	39.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completion	33.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	24.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Rushdemon	19.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	9.5
Longest Rushdemon	14.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	9.5
Longest Rush	9.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	9.5
Fantasy Scoredemon	18, up from 17.5 at today's open	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Score	14.5, up from 14 at today's open	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Fantasy Scoregoblin	11, up from 10.5 at today's open	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs KC

Every logged game against KC (Pass Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.

vs KC131.0avg over 1 game

Season avg181.6all games

Difference−50.6vs the season average

Best131in that matchup

Every logged game against KC
Date	Pass Yards	vs 206.5
Sep 14	131	−75.5

Profile

Bo Nix · Denver Broncos · #10

Position: Quarterback
Age: 26
Height: 6′2″ · 187 cm
Nationality: USA

NFL 26/27 · regular season

Games7

Pass yds / game181.6

Pass TD7

Interceptions thrown3

Completion %59.2%

Yards / attempt5.8

NFL 26/27 · regular season statistics
Stat	Value
Passer rating	80.7
Rush yds / game	15.7
Rush TD	2
Carries / game	4.1
Yards / carry	3.8

Team history

May 2024Denver Broncos to Denver Broncos

Profile data from a third-party sports data provider.

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the UNDER 206.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Last 74/7 cleared

206.5

7 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 206.5
Oct 25	ARI	222	+15.5
Oct 15	SEA	107	−99.5
Oct 11	LAC	123	−83.5
Oct 4	SF	214	+7.5
Sep 27	LAR	186	−20.5
Sep 20	JAX	288	+81.5
Sep 14	KC	131	−75.5