Next gameATL @ TBhome vs ATLSun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
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Baker Mayfield
Sunday’s context
The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass TDs projection against ATL, largest first.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Baker Mayfield right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line. A ▲ or ▼ beside a line is how far PrizePicks has moved it since it was first posted today.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Outside proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass TDsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 1.3▲ | 18/20 | 73% | +6.5 | no line | 1.5▲ |
INT | 0.5 | OVER | 0.7 | none | 11/20 | 60% | +1.8 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 31.5 | OVER only | 30.0 | 31.2▼ | 9/20 | 43% | −1.8 | 30.5▲ | 29.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 19.2 | 20.0▲ | 16/20 | 64% | −2.8 | 20.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 216.5 | UNDER | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 11/20 | 54% | −3.5 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 33.5 | OVER only | 30.0 | 31.2▼ | 8/20 | 40% | −4.9 | 30.5▲ | 29.5▲ |
Pass Completions | 19.5 | UNDER | 19.2 | 20.0▲ | 12/20 | 52% | −5.5 | 20.5▲, works against the UNDER | 19.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 14.5 | OVER | 22.0 | 22.0▲ | 12/20 | 52% | −5.5 | no line | 14.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 27.5 | OVER only | 30.0 | 31.2▲ | 14/20 | 61% | −6.1 | 30.5▲ | 29.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 30.0 | 31.2▲ | 15/20 | 61% | −6.1 | 30.5▲ | 29.5▲ |
Pass Attempts | 29.5 | UNDER | 30.0 | 31.2▲ | 10/20 | 51% | −6.7 | 30.5▲, works against the UNDER | 29.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 169.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▲ | 15/20 | 59% | −8.1 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 159.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▲ | 15/20 | 59% | −8.1 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 17.5 | OVER only | 19.2 | 20.0▲ | 12/20 | 53% | −13.7 | 20.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▲ | 12/20 | 51% | −15.7 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 224.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 8/20 | 28% | −16.7 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 223.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 8/20 | 28% | −16.7 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 21.5 | OVER only | 19.2 | 20.0▼ | 7/20 | 27% | −17.7 | 20.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 229.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 7/20 | 24% | −20.6 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 209.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 11/20 | 46% | −20.9 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 1.3▼ | 7/20 | 23% | −21.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 23.5 | OVER only | 19.2 | 20.0▼ | 5/20 | 17% | −28.0 | 20.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.1 | none | 2/20 | 13% | −32.0 | no line | not listed |
INTdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | none | 2/20 | 12% | −32.4 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 41.5 | OVER only | 30.0 | 31.2▼ | 3/20 | 11% | −33.6 | 30.5▲ | 29.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 31.5 | OVER only | 19.2 | 20.0▼ | 1/20 | 6% | −39.0 | 20.5▲ | 19.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 353.5 | OVER only | 207.5 | 202.5▼ | 1/20 | 5% | −39.7 | 216.5▲ | 217.5–224.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.1 | 1.3▼ | 0/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 1.5▲ |
INTdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | none | 0/20 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 49.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 44.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiondemon | 39.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completion | 34.5, down from 36.5 at today's open | no call | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 29.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 24.5 | OVER only | not projected | none | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs ATL
Every logged game against ATL (Pass TDs), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.
| Date | Pass TDs | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | +1.5 |
Game log · Pass TDs
Most recent first, read against the OVER 0.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 15, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 | +0.5 | |
| MIN | 1 | +0.5 | |
| CLE | 1 | +0.5 | |
| CIN | 0 | −0.5 | |
| CAR | 1 | +0.5 | |
| MIA | 2 | +1.5 | |
| CAR | 1 | +0.5 | |
| ATL | 2 | +1.5 | |
| NO | 1 | +0.5 | |
| ARI | 1 | +0.5 | |
| LAR | 1 | +0.5 | |
| BUF | 1 | +0.5 | |
| NE | 3 | +2.5 | |
| NO | 0 | −0.5 | |
| DET | 1 | +0.5 | |
| SF | 2 | +1.5 | |
| SEA | 2 | +1.5 | |
| PHI | 2 | +1.5 | |
| NYJ | 1 | +0.5 | |
| HOU | 2 | +1.5 |