Next gameMSST @ TEXhome vs MSSTSat, Oct 31 · 4:30 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Arch Manning
Saturday’s context
The adjustments behind Saturday’s Pass Yards projection against MSST, largest first.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Arch Manning right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin, or No record yet where no pick of that sport and prop type has been graded yet. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pass Yardsgoblin | 149.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 7/7 | 83% | No record yet | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 169.5 | OVER only | 230.2 | 7/7 | 83% | No record yet | no line | not listed |
INTdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.0 | 5/7 | 56% | +11.2 | no line | not listed |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 27.5 | OVER only | 27.9 | 4/7 | 48% | +3.5 | no line | 27.5▲ |
Rush Yards | 23.5 | UNDER | 15.7 | 5/7 | 58% | No record yet | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Pass Completions | 17.5 | OVER | 17.6 | 4/7 | 54% | No record yet | no line | 17.5▲ |
Pass Yards | 216.5 | UNDER | 214.4 | 5/7 | 52% | No record yet | 231.5▲, works against the UNDER | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 199.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 4/7 | 61% | No record yet | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsdemon | 9.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 3/7 | 38% | −6.5 | no line | 9.5▲ |
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days. | 4.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 5/7 | 59% | No record yet | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 25.5 | OVER only | 27.9 | 5/7 | 59% | No record yet | no line | 27.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsgoblin | 23.5 | OVER only | 27.9 | 5/7 | 59% | No record yet | no line | 27.5▲ |
Pass Completionsgoblin | 15.5 | OVER only | 17.6 | 5/7 | 59% | No record yet | no line | 17.5▲ |
Rush Attemptsgoblin | 7.5 | OVER only | 8.2 | 5/7 | 59% | No record yet | no line | 9.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 226.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 2/7 | 32% | −13.0 | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Pass Yardsdemon | 229.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 2/7 | 31% | −14.0 | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days. | 9.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 3/7 | 49% | No record yet | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 2/7 | 26% | −18.8 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 259.5 | OVER only | 230.2 | 2/7 | 25% | −19.7 | no line | not listed |
Pass TDsgoblin | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 3/7 | 45% | No record yet | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 19.5 | OVER only | 17.6 | 2/7 | 23% | −21.9 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Rush YardsgoblinNot published: our graded CFB Rush Yards OVER demons went 2–4 over the last 30 days. | 19.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 3/7 | 42% | No record yet | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Rush Yardsdemon | 29.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 1/7 | 17% | −27.8 | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 1/7 | 15% | −30.2 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 39.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 1/7 | 11% | −33.7 | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Pass Attemptsdemon | 35.5 | OVER only | 27.9 | 1/7 | 11% | −33.8 | no line | 27.5▲ |
Pass Yardsgoblin | 224.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 2/7 | 32% | No record yet | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Pass TDsdemon | 3.5 | OVER only | 1.7 | 1/7 | 9% | −35.8 | 1.5▲ | 1.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsgoblin | 239.5 | OVER only | 230.2 | 2/7 | 30% | No record yet | no line | not listed |
Anytime TDsgoblinNot published: our last 4 graded CFB Anytime TDs OVER picks went 1–3. | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 1/7 | 30% | No record yet | no line | not listed |
Pass Yardsdemon | 374.5 | OVER only | 214.4 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 231.5▲ | 216.5–217.5▲ |
Pass+Rush Ydsdemon | 359.5 | OVER only | 230.2 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Rush Yardsdemon | 104.5 | OVER only | 15.7 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | 23.5▲ | 23.5▲ |
Pass Completionsdemon | 25.5 | OVER only | 17.6 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | 17.5▲ |
Anytime TDsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 0.3 | 0/7 | 5% | −39.7 | no line | not listed |
Longest Completiongoblin | 43.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
Longest Rushgoblin | 13.5 | OVER only | not projected | no log | no game log | — | no line | not listed |
vs MSST
No logged games against MSST in the 7 games we hold.
Game log · Pass Yards
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 216.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Pass Yards | vs 216.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 212 | −4.5 | |
| FLA | 173 | −43.5 | |
| OU | 260 | +43.5 | |
| TENN | 201 | −15.5 | |
| UTSA | 161 | −55.5 | |
| OSU | 195 | −21.5 | |
| TXST | 305 | +88.5 |