Next gameCHI @ DEThome vs CHIToday · 4:30 PM PT
refreshes every ~15 min
Alex DeBrincat
Today’s context
The adjustments behind today’s Shots On Goal projection against CHI, largest first.
- Weak D (+11%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
- Power-play matchup (-2.6%, power-play share 19%)Opponent's penalty rate against this player's power-play role.
- Game total 6 (-2.0%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
- HomeHome/away effect on this stat.
On today’s board
Not on today’s board
No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.
See today’s boardEvery live line
Every PrizePicks line for Alex DeBrincat right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.
| Stat | Line | Side | Proj | Cleared | Model | vs BE | Books | Other apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plus/Minusdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 7/12 | 48% | +3.5 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 7/12 | 48% | +3.2 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goal | 3.5 | UNDER | 3.8 | 6/12 | 51% | −6.7 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Shots On Goalgoblin | 2.5 | OVER only | 3.8 | 9/12 | 59% | −8.1 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Pointsgoblin | 0.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 8/12 | 59% | −8.1 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 0.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | 4/12 | 36% | −9.0 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 3/12 | 29% | −15.3 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 4.5 | OVER only | 3.8 | 3/12 | 27% | −17.7 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Pointsdemon | 2.5 | OVER only | 1.2 | 2/12 | 11% | −33.5 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Goalsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.6 | 2/12 | 11% | −34.0 | 0.5▲ | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 6.5 | OVER only | 3.8 | 1/12 | 7% | −37.8 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
Assistsdemon | 1.5 | OVER only | 0.7 | 0/12 | 6% | −38.7 | no line | 0.5▲ |
Shots On Goaldemon | 7.5 | OVER only | 3.8 | 0/12 | 5% | −39.7 | 3.5▲ | 3.5▲ |
vs CHI
No logged games against CHI in the 12 games we hold.
Game log · Shots On Goal
Most recent first, read against the UNDER 3.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 12, oldest on the left.
| Date | Opp | Shots On Goal | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 2 | −1.5 | |
| CGY | 3 | −0.5 | |
| VAN | 4 | +0.5 | |
| SEA | 5 | +1.5 | |
| SJ | 2 | −1.5 | |
| PHI | 4 | +0.5 | |
| NJ | 6 | +2.5 | |
| MTL | 7 | +3.5 | |
| SEA | 3 | −0.5 | |
| OTT | 3 | −0.5 | |
| WPG | 4 | +0.5 | |
| NYR | 1 | −2.5 |