Aaron Rodgers

Season avg242.7Pass Yards · +21.2 vs 221.5

Sample74 over 221.5

Live lines34none on today’s board

vs CLE299.0avg over 1 game

Sunday’s context

The adjustments behind Sunday’s Pass Yards projection against CLE, largest first.

Game total 38.5 (-7.5%)The betting market's expected game total. Higher-scoring games lift counting stats; the projection moved by the % shown.
Strong D (-5%)Opponent's defense against this stat versus league average.
HomeHome/away effect on this stat.

On today’s board

Not on today’s board

No prop for this player cleared the filters for this slate. The model’s read on each live line is in the table below.

See today’s board

Every live line

Every PrizePicks line for Aaron Rodgers right now. The side is the model’s (demons and goblins are OVER-only); vs BE is the model’s margin over that prop type’s break-even — 57.7% standard, 44.7% demon, 66.7% goblin. Cleared counts logged games past the line on that side; the tick on each bar is break-even. Books is the range of sportsbook lines on the same stat. Outside proj is a projection from outside PropEdge, not ours; Other apps is the range of lines other pick’em apps post. Arrows point to where they sit against the PrizePicks line.

Every live PrizePicks line for Aaron Rodgers, with the model’s side, probability and sportsbook lines
Stat	Line	Side	Proj	Outside proj	Cleared	Model	vs BE	Books	Other apps
Pass Yardsgoblin	169.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	7/7	83%	+16.7	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	159.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	7/7	83%	+16.7	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	27.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	7/7	83%	+16.7	33.5	33.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	29.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	7/7	73%	+6.5	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	17.5	OVER only	21.8	19.7	7/7	73%	+6.5	21.5	21.5
Pass TDsgoblin	0.5	OVER only	1.7	1.9	6/7	73%	+6.5	1.5	1.5
Pass TDsdemon	1.5	OVER only	1.7	1.9	4/7	50%	+5.3	1.5	1.5
Pass Yardsdemon	224.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	4/7	48%	+2.8	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Yardsdemon	228.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	4/7	47%	+2.5	218.5	219.5–224.5
INTdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.6	none	4/7	47%	+2.4	no line	not listed
Pass Attemptsdemon	35.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	4/7	47%	+2.1	33.5	33.5
Pass Attemptsgoblin	31.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	5/7	66%	−0.7	33.5	33.5
Pass Attemptsdemon	37.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	4/7	44%	−1.1	33.5	33.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	209.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	6/7	64%	−2.8	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Yardsgoblin	199.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	6/7	64%	−2.8	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Yards	221.5	OVER	218.8	196.0	4/7	54%	−3.6	218.5, works against the OVER	219.5–224.5
Pass Completionsdemon	22.5	OVER only	21.8	19.7	3/7	40%	−4.4	21.5	21.5
Pass Attempts	33.5	OVER	35.1	31.2	5/7	52%	−5.5	33.5	33.5
Pass Completions	21.5	OVER	21.8	19.7	5/7	52%	−5.5	21.5	21.5
Rush Yards	0.5	OVER	3.0	6.7	4/7	52%	−5.5	no line	0.5
Pass Yardsdemon	239.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	3/7	38%	−6.8	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass Completionsgoblin	19.5	OVER only	21.8	19.7	5/7	59%	−8.1	21.5	21.5
Pass Completionsdemon	23.5	OVER only	21.8	19.7	2/7	31%	−13.5	21.5	21.5
INTdemon	1.5	OVER only	0.6	none	1/7	13%	−31.3	no line	not listed
Pass Attemptsdemon	45.5	OVER only	35.1	31.2	1/7	13%	−32.0	33.5	33.5
Pass Completionsdemon	29.5	OVER only	21.8	19.7	1/7	13%	−32.1	21.5	21.5
Pass Yardsdemon	349.5	OVER only	218.8	196.0	0/7	5%	−39.7	218.5	219.5–224.5
Pass TDsdemon	3.5	OVER only	1.7	1.9	0/7	5%	−39.7	1.5	1.5
Anytime TDsdemon	0.5	OVER only	0.0	none	0/7	5%	−39.7	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	49.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	44.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiondemon	39.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completion	35.5	no call	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed
Longest Completiongoblin	29.5	OVER only	not projected	none	no log	no game log	—	no line	not listed

vs CLE

Every logged game against CLE (Pass Yards), read straight off the game log — not a season-long split.

vs CLE299.0avg over 1 game

Season avg242.7all games

Difference+56.3vs the season average

Best299in that matchup

Every logged game against CLE
Date	Pass Yards	vs 221.5
Oct 1	299	+77.5

Game log · Pass Yards

Most recent first, read against the OVER 221.5 line: games that cleared it are lit. The tape draws the last 7, oldest on the left.

Last 74/7 cleared

221.5

7 games agolast game

Game log · Pass Yards, most recent game first
Date	Opp	Pass Yards	vs 221.5
Oct 25	NO	212	−9.5
Oct 18	TB	253	+31.5
Oct 11	IND	235	+13.5
Oct 1	CLE	299	+77.5
Sep 27	CIN	292	+70.5
Sep 20	NE	187	−34.5
Sep 13	ATL	221	−0.5