Today's Best Picks

July 31, 2026
Today Tomorrow
8 AI-verified picks where the player hit this line in 11+ of their last 15 games. Model-projected, DNP-filtered, statistically validated.
7-DAY
1-2 · −$63
14-DAY
1-2 · −$63
WIN RATE
58.3%
35W-25L · 60 resolved
PAPER PnL
−$121
since 2026-04-23, $10-$50 quarter-Kelly stakes
1
David Fry
ARI @ CLE · Fri, Jul 31, 4:10 PM PDT
+50% EV BET $5 STANDARD
Hits UNDER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 13 of last 15 (87%)
  • Projection 0.2 — 62% below the 0.5 line
  • Well Rested
  • vs Mitch Bratt (+11%)
2
Brandon Marsh
PHI @ BAL · Fri, Jul 31, 4:05 PM PDT
+50% EV BET $5 STANDARD
Hitter Fantasy Score UNDER 6.5
  • Hit this line in 13 of last 15 (87%)
  • Projection 4.9 — 24% below the 6.5 line
  • Well Rested
  • Pin total 9 (+2.9%)
3
Nick Kurtz
DET @ ATH · Fri, Jul 31, 6:40 PM PDT
+39% EV BET $5 STANDARD
Total Bases UNDER 1.5
  • Hit this line in 12 of last 15 (80%)
  • Projection 1.1 — 30% below the 1.5 line
  • Well Rested
  • vs Casey Mize (-4%)
4
Isaac Collins
KCR @ COL · Fri, Jul 31, 5:40 PM PDT
+39% EV BET $5 STANDARD
Runs UNDER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 12 of last 15 (80%)
  • Projection 0.4 — 19% below the 0.5 line
  • Well Rested
  • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (+15%)
5
Jeremy Peña
TEX @ HOU · Sat, Aug 1, 4:10 PM PDT
+64% EV DEMON
Runs OVER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 11 of last 15 (73%)
  • Projection 1.1 — 127% above the 0.5 line
  • Sample: 15 games
6
Munetaka Murakami
CHW @ TBL · Sat, Aug 1, 1:10 PM PDT
+64% EV DEMON
Walks OVER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 11 of last 15 (73%)
  • Projection 0.9 — 73% above the 0.5 line
  • Sample: 15 games
7
Ezequiel Duran
TEX @ HOU · Sat, Aug 1, 4:10 PM PDT
+64% EV DEMON
Runs OVER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 11 of last 15 (73%)
  • Projection 0.8 — 60% above the 0.5 line
  • Sample: 15 games
8
Freddy Peralta
MIA @ NYM · Fri, Jul 31, 4:10 PM PDT
+30% EV BET $5 GOBLIN
Earned Runs Allowed OVER 0.5
  • Hit this line in 13 of last 15 (87%)
  • Projection 3.3 — 558% above the 0.5 line
  • Well Rested
  • vs MIA (4.41 R/G, +0.1%)