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LaLiga · Matchday 12 · Reale Arena, San Sebastian

Real SociedadvsRayo Vallecano

Sun, Nov 8 · 7:15 AM PT

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Who wins

Market
Fan poll

No outside forecast for this match yet; it usually appears closer to kickoff. Market is the 1X2 price with the bookmaker’s margin spread out proportionally. Fan poll: 267 votes (third-party poll).

The market · 1X2

SideNo-vigOddsImplied
Real Sociedad51.9%1.80 4/555.6%
Draw25.3%3.70 27/1027.0%
Rayo Vallecano22.8%4.10 31/1024.4%

Implied = 1 ÷ decimal odds; the three add up to 107.0%, so this book’s margin is 7.0%. No-vig removes it.

Head to head

All-time

Real Sociedad 3 wins · 5 draws · Rayo Vallecano 2 wins.

  1. Rayo Vallecano3–3Real SociedadApr 26, 2026 · LaLiga
  2. Real Sociedad0–1Rayo VallecanoOct 5, 2025 · LaLiga
  3. Rayo Vallecano2–2Real SociedadMar 16, 2025 · LaLiga
  4. Real Sociedad3–1Rayo VallecanoJan 16, 2025 · Copa del Rey
  5. Real Sociedad1–2Rayo VallecanoAug 18, 2024 · LaLiga
  6. Real Sociedad0–0Rayo VallecanoJan 27, 2024 · LaLiga

Fan poll: both teams to score?

Votes

37 votes (third-party poll): yes 84%, no 16%.

Fixtures

The next 30 La Liga matches, in Pacific time. Open one for an outside model’s probabilities against the market, head-to-head and form.

Fri, Oct 30

Sat, Oct 31

Sun, Nov 1

Mon, Nov 2

Fri, Nov 6

Sat, Nov 7

Sun, Nov 8

Fri, Nov 20

Sat, Nov 21

Sun, Nov 22

Mon, Nov 23