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Premier League · Matchday 10 · Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester UnitedvsAston Villa

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:30 AM PT

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Who wins

Market
Fan poll

No outside forecast for this match yet; it usually appears closer to kickoff. Market is the 1X2 price with the bookmaker’s margin spread out proportionally. Fan poll: 1,903 votes (third-party poll).

The market · 1X2

SideNo-vigOddsImplied
Man Utd41.6%2.25 5/444.4%
Draw26.0%3.60 13/527.8%
Aston Villa32.5%2.88 47/2534.7%

Implied = 1 ÷ decimal odds; the three add up to 106.9%, so this book’s margin is 6.9%. No-vig removes it.

Head to head

All-time

Man Utd 6 wins · 2 draws · Aston Villa 2 wins.

  1. Man Utd3–1Aston VillaMar 15, 2026 · Premier League
  2. Aston Villa2–1Man UtdDec 21, 2025 · Premier League
  3. Man Utd2–0Aston VillaMay 25, 2025 · Premier League
  4. Aston Villa0–0Man UtdOct 6, 2024 · Premier League
  5. Aston Villa1–2Man UtdFeb 11, 2024 · Premier League
  6. Man Utd3–2Aston VillaDec 26, 2023 · Premier League

Fan poll: both teams to score?

Votes

278 votes (third-party poll): yes 82%, no 18%.

Fixtures

The next 30 Premier League matches, in Pacific time. Open one for an outside model’s probabilities against the market, head-to-head and form.

Sat, Oct 31

Sun, Nov 1

Mon, Nov 2

Fri, Nov 6

Sat, Nov 7

Sun, Nov 8

Sat, Nov 21

Sun, Nov 22

Mon, Nov 23