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Bundesliga · Matchday 9 · MEWA Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05vsFC Bayern München

Sat, Nov 7 · 6:30 AM PT

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Who wins

Market
Fan poll

No outside forecast for this match yet; it usually appears closer to kickoff. Market is the 1X2 price with the bookmaker’s margin spread out proportionally. Fan poll: 1,210 votes (third-party poll).

The market · 1X2

SideNo-vigOddsImplied
Mainz 0517.2%5.50 9/218.2%
Draw16.4%5.75 19/417.4%
Bayern66.4%1.42 21/5070.4%

Implied = 1 ÷ decimal odds; the three add up to 106.0%, so this book’s margin is 6.0%. No-vig removes it.

Head to head

All-time

Mainz 05 2 wins · 1 draw · Bayern 7 wins.

  1. Mainz 053–4BayernApr 25, 2026 · Bundesliga
  2. Bayern2–2Mainz 05Dec 14, 2025 · Bundesliga
  3. Bayern3–0Mainz 05Apr 26, 2025 · Bundesliga
  4. Mainz 052–1BayernDec 14, 2024 · Bundesliga
  5. Mainz 050–4BayernOct 30, 2024 · DFB Pokal
  6. Bayern8–1Mainz 05Mar 9, 2024 · Bundesliga

Fan poll: both teams to score?

Votes

178 votes (third-party poll): yes 70%, no 30%.

EPLLa LigaBundesligaSerie ALigue 1

Fixtures

The next 30 Bundesliga matches, in Pacific time. Open one for an outside model’s probabilities against the market, head-to-head and form.

Fri, Oct 30

Sat, Oct 31

Sun, Nov 1

Fri, Nov 6

Sat, Nov 7

Sun, Nov 8

Fri, Nov 20

Sat, Nov 21

Sun, Nov 22

Fri, Nov 27

Sat, Nov 28